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The Big Wednesday Multiple: Mel to keep it tight against his former employer

Pepe Mel is taking on his old club
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It's that time of the week where Paul Robinson selects a home win, an away win, a match to go over 2.5 goals and a match to go under 2.5 goals. Here are his selections:

- Back Barcelona @ 1.44 (4/9)
- Back St Mirren @ 2.45 (29/20)
- Back Over 2.5 Goals in Man City v Stoke @ 1.44 (4/9)
- Back Under 2.5 Goals in Deportivo v Real Betis @ 1.57 (4/7)

The Multiple pays approximately 7.98 (7/1)

Bet 1: Barcelona (HOME) @ 1.44 (4/9)

This is the second leg of a Champions League last 16 tie and while PSG qualifying for the next round is almost a forgone conclusion, I expect Barcelona to retain some pride this evening.

Luis Enrqiue's side were demolished 4-0 in Paris three weeks ago and the manager has since announced that he is standing down at the end of the season.

Despite that bombshell, his team still thrashed Celta Vigo 5-0 at the weekend and they will certainly be on the attack again in this one as they try to overturn the 4-0 deficit.

PSG won't be coasting but the fact is that they simply don't need to win - or even draw. If they go 1-0 down I very much doubt they'll start chasing the game as they did the hard work in France.


Bet 2: St Mirren (AWAY) @ 2.45 (29/20)

To the Scottish Championship now as St Mirren's revival looks set to continue at the expense of Raith Rovers.

The visitors are bottom of the league but they've lost just three of their last 11 fixtures - picking up four wins, including their last two outings. A total of 16 of the 20 points they've earned this season have come during that spell and they won 2-0 at Ayr on their latest road trip.

Raith Rovers are two places above them in eighth but the gap is now down to six points and St Mirren have a game in hand. The hosts are in miserable form as well which doesn't bode well for the rest of the campaign.

John Hughes' men haven't won a league game since October and of the 15 they've played since, nine have been defeats, with all bar one of the losses coming from their last nine matches.


Bet 3: Man City v Stoke (Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.44 (4/9)

This week's goal-fest comes from the Premier League as I can't see anything other than a high-scoring affair between Man City and Stoke.

The stats for Man City are hugely promising as their matches are averaging 3.15 goals each time. A total of 18 of their 26 have seen this selection land - including five of their last six at the Etihad. It's also reassuring that Sergio Aguero seems to be back in favour with Pep Guardiola and, more importantly, back in form.

Stoke have a lower average at the 2.67 mark but it's still above the desired number though and it's their away scorelines which interest me more anyway.

Mark Hughes' side have conceded four goals in three of their last five on their travels and prior to that they shipped three at the Emirates. That has led to five of their last six away from home go over 2.5 and they could be set for another troubled evening today.


Bet 4: Deportivo v Real Betis (Under 2.5 goals) @ 1.57 (4/7)

We conclude in La Liga for our under 2.5 selection as hopefully it will come in the Deportivo and Real Betis fixture.

Pepe Mel has had two spells at Betis but he's wearing Deportivo's colours tonight and he would hate to be beaten by his former club. His team generally keep it tight at home and while he's not been the manager for long, I doubt we'll see a change in style which has led to eight of their 13 outings on this ground end with the ball in the net on two occasions or fewer.

Real Betis have played 25 times this year and 14 of them have finished with under 2.5 backers collecting and they've fired blanks in three of their last six away from home.

It's also worth noting that they've only conceded more than two in three of their away fixtures this term and one of those was at the Nou Camp.


Recommended Multiple

Back Barcelona @ 1.44 (4/9)

Back St Mirren @ 2.45 (29/20)

Back Over 2.5 Goals in Man City v Stoke @ 1.44 (4/9)

Back Under 2.5 Goals in Deportivo v Real Betis @ 1.57 (4/7)

The Multiple pays approximately 7.98 (7/1)


Multiple prices are based on our Sportsbook product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.

2017 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 7pts
Returned: 6.92pts
P/L: -0.08pts

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