The Big Wednesday Multiple: South American cup competitions to provide value

Paul Robinson
31 August 2016

Rosario Central should be challenging for honours this season

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It's that time of the week where Paul Robinson selects a home win, an away win, a match to go over 2.5 goals and a match to go under 2.5 goals. Here are his selections...

- Back Sport Recife @ 2.1 (11/10)
- Back Rosario Central @ 1.7 (7/10)
- Back Over 2.5 Goals in Flamengo v Figueirense @ 1.9 (10/11)
- Back Under 2.5 Goals in Fluminense v Corinthians @ 1.55 (11/20)

The Multiple pays approximately 10.51 (10/1)

Bet 1: Sport Recife (HOME) @ 2.1 (11/10)

We begin in Brazil for what is known locally as the 'Clássico das Multidões' which is basically a local derby between Sport and their Recife neighbours, Santa Cruz.

The first leg of this Copa Sudamericana tie finished 0-0 this time last week and I think we're all set up for a relatively comfortable home win.

The hosts are usually rock solid in front of their own fans and they've already beaten Gremio and Flamengo here since the middle of July - and those two are sixth and second in the Campeonato respectively.

Santa Cruz are second from bottom of that division and they haven't won a game since they beat the league whipping boys, America Mineiro, 10 matches ago.

They went down 2-0 at Cruzeiro on their most recent road trip and they are yet to score in two games against Sport this season.

Bet 2: Rosario Central (AWAY) @ 1.7 (7/10)

To Argentina now for a Copa Argentina last 16 tie that should be well within the compass of Rosario Central.

The visitors are one of the better teams in the country and while they didn't challenge for first place last term, they also had the Copa Libertadores to contend with - a competition which they made it through to the quarter-finals of.

Atletico Rafaela on the other hand finished with the worst record of all 30 of the top flight clubs last season and it wasn't even close either. They managed to pick up just nine points from their 16 fixtures and their nearest rivals got 12.

It's set to be another struggle for Juan Manuel Llop's men and I really don't see how they will be able to compete tonight - things are that bad that they have lost 10 of their last 15 at home and they needed two late goals and penalties to edge out lower league opposition in the previous round.

Bet 3: Flamengo v Figueirense (Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.9 (10/11) - Live on Premier Sports

Back to the Copa Sudamericana for this week's goal-fest as both Flamengo and Figueirense have been involved in plenty of high-scoring affairs of late.

'Big Mengo' are on a run of three straight matches to end with the net having bulged at least three times, with the latter two scorelines being 4-2 and 1-3.

The 4-2 was the first leg of this tie and it was somewhat of a surprise result as Flamengo were on the wrong side of it and they are performing much better than Figueriense in the Campeonato.

That result means that Zé Ricardo's men simply have to go for it from the off tonight and, if they hit their stride, I can see them racking up a hatful of goals.

We aren't even relying on them netting all three of the ones we need themselves as their opponents are in great nick - following up that 4-2 victory with a 1-0 win at title contenders, Santos, on Sunday.

Bet 4: Fluminense v Corinthians (Under 2.5 goals) @ 1.55 (11/20)

Our final selection also comes from Brazil as Corinthians travel to Fluminense for the first leg of their last 16 Copa do Brasil tie.

The reigning champions have struggled of late as it's just one win in five - three of which were defeats. They can't afford to let things slip much further if they want to retain their title and a draw at least tonight would get them back on the right track ahead of their next league fixture.

It won't be easy for Cristóvão Borges' side as Fluminense are slowly getting their act together - even if they were beaten at the weekend.

This should be a really tight affair with a clean sheet arguably the main aim for both teams. That isn't an unrealistic scenario either as Corinthians have failed to score in any of their three most recent away outings, while the hosts have kept three clean sheets from four on this ground.

Recommended Multiple

Back Sport Recife @ 2.1 (11/10)

Back Rosario Central @ 1.7 (7/10)

Back Over 2.5 Goals in Flamengo v Figueirense @ 1.9 (10/11)

Back Under 2.5 Goals in Fluminense v Corinthians @ 1.55 (11/20)

The Multiple pays approximately 10.51 (10/1)

Multiple prices are based on our Sportsbook product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.

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