Bet 1: Leeds (HOME) @ 3.2 (11/5)
The hosts are in fifth with 66 points and while they probably won't admit to have given up on automatic promotion, even if they beat Brighton this evening, they'll still trail them by eight points.
Winning is something which I think they are value to do as Leeds at home should never be bigger than 2/1 in this division. Garry Monk's side have an excellent record at Elland Road as they've won eight of their last 10 - losing just once.
The Seagulls bounced back from defeats to Newcastle and Nottingham Forest by beating Rotherham and Derby but the former are cut off at the bottom of the league and the latter have been in miserable form.
Chris Hughton would likely to take a point prior to kick off as the pressure is now off a bit following Huddersfield's shock defeat last night. I just think that Leeds will have to much for them though, and it's Leeds who arguably needs the points more.
The visitors are in fourth place in the Dutch Eredivisie and while a top three place is beyond them, they need to keep picking up the points to finish in the top seven - and fourth to eighth are separated by a mere four points.
Erik ten Hag's men have only been beaten three times away from home this season and they've won five of their last nine. It's also a positive that they know where the net is when they're on the road.
Opponents, NEC, are down in 12th place and they come into the fixture in poor form. They've lost six of their last seven matches and even in front of their own fans it's two defeats in three.
We stay in the Dutch top flight for this week's goal-fest as the stats are pointing towards a high-scoring affair when Sparta Rotterdam take on Heracles.
Rotterdam have scored 32 and conceded 47 this term, which gives their games an average of 3.04 goals each time - the fourth highest in the entire division. A total of 14 of their 26 have seen over 2.5 backers collect and that includes six of their last eight on this ground.
Heracles have an identical average of 3.04 goals per match, but they've had more games finish with the ball in the net on three occasions or more - 16 out of 26.
It's also a good omen that they come into the match on a run of seven to go over 2.5, with the scorelines being 1-2, 1-3, 2-2, 4-0, 4-1, 3-1 and 2-1.
We conclude in France for what will hopefully a game with little incident as I strongly fancy it to land the under 2.5 leg of our multiple.
Nancy's fixtures are averaging a mere 1.93 goals each time, which is the lowest in Ligue One. A resounding 21 of their 29 matches have ended with two goals or fewer and with just 19 goals to their name, they have the worst attacking record in the league.
Lorient have a much higher average at 3.03 goals per match but that's because they concede loads of goals themselves. They are bottom of the league and look set for relegation, but I just can't see Nancy taking advantage of their abysmal defensive record.
Back Leeds @ 3.2 (11/5)
The Multiple pays approximately 18.08 (17/1)
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2017 P/L (1pt each bet)
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