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The Big Saturday Multiple: Corinthians to go 13 points clear

Jadson has scored the opener in his last two games for Corinthians
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It's that time of the weekend where Paul Robinson selects a home win, an away win, a match to go over 2.5 goals and a match to go under 2.5 goals. Here are his selections:

- Back Corinthians @ 1.44 (4/9)
- Back Juventude @ 4.33 (10/3)
- Back Over 2.5 Goals in Luverdense v ABC @ 2.0 (1/1)
- Back Under 2.5 Goals in Nautico v Santa Cruz @ 1.8 (4/5)

The Multiple pays approximately 22.45 (21/1)

Bet 1: Corinthians (HOME) @ 1.44 (4/9)

It's been a one team demolition in Brazil's top flight this season and I see no reason for that changing tonight when leaders, Corinthians, take on Atletico PR.

The hosts came through their biggest test yet when they went to Palmeiras and won during the week. It was their 11th victory of the campaign and their only dropped points have been a couple of draws earlier on in the campaign.

Maximum points tonight would see them move 13 points clear of closest challengers, Gremio, and that should be a formality really given the form of their opponents.

Atletico PR come into the game having lost four of their previous five in all competitions. The only positive result during that period was a 1-1 draw at the struggling, Chapecoense.


Bet 2: Juventude (AWAY) @ 4.33 (10/3)

It's not often that the leaders of a division are as big as [4.33] to win away from home against a team who are in 10th, but that's the situation we find ourselves in here for the Serie B fixture between Ceara and Juventude.

Admittedly, I wouldn't expect the visitors to be top by the end of the season, but they have looked impressive thus far and they beat the second placed, Guarani, last weekend.

Gilmar Dal Pozzo's side may have won just once on their travels this term but then they haven't lost yet either as they have drawn at the likes of Internacional and Vila Nova.

Ceara were beaten 2-0 on this ground by Internacional in the week and they have also lost to Santa Cruz here this year. They aren't a bad team, but they are far from consistent, and the way this match has been priced up baffles me.


Bet 3: Luverdense v ABC (Over 2.5 goals) @ 2.0 (1/1)

Staying in Serie B for our goal-fest as the clubs who are currently 18th and 19th will hopefully go for the jugular against opponents who they will both believe that they can beat.

Luverdense may well be third from bottom, but they have scored 16 times in 13 outings this season, which is a total bettered by only six other teams.

Unfortunately for Júnior Rocha, his players have conceded 19 at the other end, and that has led to their matches averaging 2.69 goals each time - with seven of them going over 2.5, including four of their last five, and their three most recent ones at home.

ABC have the worst recent form on offer as they have lost five on the spin - conceding 10 goals in the process. It's their away scorelines that I'd like to focus on most though as after a 1-1 draw in their first away match of the campaign, their scorelines have been 2-1, 3-0, 1-2, 2-1 and 3-1.


Bet 4: Nautico v Santa Cruz (Under 2.5 goals) @ 1.8 (4/5)

We conclude in Brazil's second tier for the fixture between Nautico and Santa Cruz, which will hopefully end with two goals or fewer.

The hosts are rock bottom of Serie B having lost nine of their 13 games thus far. They have shown signs of a revival recently though as four of the six points that they have earned this season have come from their last two outings.

As for the goal-stats, five of their seven at home this year have seen this selection land, and despite their struggles, they restricted their opponents to one goal or fewer in four of them.

Santa Cruz were relegated from the Campeonato last year but they haven't exactly made a flying start at this lower level. They are in 11th place and they have lost as many matches as they have won.

The Recife based club have fired blanks in two of their last three on the road and three of their last half dozen away from home have ended with the ball in the net on two occasions or fewer.


Recommended Multiple

Back Corinthians @ 1.44 (4/9)

Back Juventude @ 4.33 (10/3)

Back Over 2.5 Goals in Luverdense v ABC @ 2.0 (1/1)

Back Under 2.5 Goals in Nautico v Santa Cruz @ 1.8 (4/5)

The Multiple pays approximately 22.45 (21/1)

Multiple prices are based on our Sportsbook product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.

2017 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 27pts
Returned: 12.97pts
P/L: -14.03pts

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