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The Big Saturday Multiple: More misery for Malaga

Alaves have held their own since being promoted to La Liga
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Paul Robinson landed the Big Saturday Multiple last weekend at odds of 12.97. Can he follow it up with another winner...

- Back Guingamp @ 1.72 (8/11)
- Back Alaves @ 4.2 (16/5)
- Back Over 2.5 Goals in Granada v Atletico Madrid @ 1.95 (19/20)
- Back Under 2.5 Goals in Nancy v Lille @ 1.44 (4/9)

The Multiple pays approximately 20.28 (19/1)

Bet 1: Guingamp (HOME) @ 1.72 (8/11)

We begin in France for what should be a relatively straightforward home win.

Guingamp are in mid-table and despite being on a run of just one win in 10, I can't see them not being able to beat Bastia. They have home advantage for a start and at Stade de Roudourou this season it's seven victories from 13 matches.

The main reason why I like this selection however is that Bastia are second from bottom and they are there because of their away results. They have lost 10 of their matches away from Corsica this year and they come into this fixture on the back of four straight defeats on their travels.

The two latest ones were 4-1 and 3-0 thrashings by mid-table clubs, so it's not like they have been taking on the big boys.


Bet 2: Alaves (AWAY) @ 4.2 (16/5)

Over to La Liga for our away win this week as Alaves seem overpriced to win at Malaga.

Before I go any further, it's worth pointing out that Malaga have appointed a new manager this week but I'm not convinced that Michel will be able to have an immediate impact.

Malaga are in miserable form and a run of one win in 13 - eight defeats - has seen them slide down the table into 15th. They've lost their last three on the bounce and even at La Rosaleda it's just four points from a possible 15 of late.

In contrast, the visitors are enjoying a fine campaign considering they are newly promoted to the top flight. They were unlucky not to beat Sevilla on Monday and they are safely positioned in mid-table.

Mauricio Pellegrino's men have now won four of their last eight on their travels - including a 2-0 success at Villarreal - as well as picking up draws at Eibar and Athletic Bilbao.


Bet 3: Granada v Atletico Madrid (Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.95 (19/20)

We stay in Spain for our goal-fest as I'm hopeful of at least three when Atletico Madrid travel to Granada.

I'll start with the home side as their matches are averaging exactly three goals per 90 minutes this season. A total of 14 of their 26 have seen over 2.5 backers collect and they've racked up six goals in their two latest outings in front of their own fans - all without keeping a clean sheet.

They will need to be at their best as they have to take on an Atletico Madrid team who are desperately chasing Sevilla for a top three finish and automatic qualification to next year's Champions League.

Diego Simeone's men have been a bit in and out this term and their defensive record isn't as good as usual. That has helped their matches average 2.69 goals each time, with a dozen of them having three or more - including two of their last four away from home.


Bet 4: Nancy v Lille (Under 2.5 goals) @ 1.44 (4/9)

We conclude back in Ligue One as Nancy and Lille will hopefully live up to the standards they've set this season and produce a low-scoring affair.

The hosts are seeing their fixtures average just 1.89 goals each time this year, which is the joint lowest total in the entire division. A resounding 21 of their 28 games have seen this selection land they haven't scored a goal in any of their last three on this ground.

Lille have a slightly higher average at the 2.25 mark but 17 of their 28 have still finished with the ball in the net on two occasions or fewer. It's also worth noting that eight of their last 10 away from home have gone under 2.5.


Recommended Multiple

Back Guingamp @ 1.72 (8/11)

Back Alaves @ 4.2 (16/5)

Back Over 2.5 Goals in Granada v Atletico Madrid @ 1.95 (19/20)

Back Under 2.5 Goals in Nancy v Lille @ 1.44 (4/9)

The Multiple pays approximately 20.28 (19/1)

Multiple prices are based on our Sportsbook product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.


2017 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 9pts
Returned: 12.97pts
P/L: +3.97pts

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