After securing two winners this week, Kev's looking for a hat-trick in Germany.
"All three of Bayer's games this season have featured at least three goals, and they look far better playing on the front foot than they do defending."
Bayer Leverkusen v CSKA Moscow
Wednesday September 14, 19:45
Live on BT Sport Extra
Whatever happens to our bets for the rest of this week, we'll always have Paris. PSG really should've beaten Arsenal last night, but after netting 42 seconds in, Edinson Cavani showed the kind of wonky finishing that has plagued him this term. Arsenal took advantage, snatched a 1-1 draw, and our lay of the hosts came off. Magnifique.
We're sticking with the Champions League, but heading to the Rhineland, as Bayer Leverkusen face CSKA Moscow. With Spurs and Monaco also in this group, every game is crucial.
Bayer have made a strange start to the campaign. They edged a 2-1 win at lower-league side Hauenstein in the German Cup, lost 2-1 at Borussia Monchengladbach in their Bundesliga opener, and then won a thriller against Hamburg 3-1. They were 1-0 down at home to Hamburg, but a hat-trick from supersub Joel Pohjanpalo turned the match in Die Werkself's favour. The Finnish summer signing has been a revelation this term, scoring four goals from just four attempts.
Bayer are yet to keep a clean sheet this term, and the balance in their midfield doesn't look quite right at present, but they have plenty of attacking options. Pohjanpalo is pushing for a start, while 20-year-old Julian Brandt is a rising German star. Despite picking up hand injuries, Chicharito and Kevin Volland could both start tonight - Chicharito fell down some stairs, while Volland damaged a finger on international duty.
Bayer are usually good for a few goals in the Champions League. Four of their six group-stage games last term featured three goals or more, and the other two contained two goals apiece.
CSKA Moscow are a bit more circumspect, but the Russian giants don't often draw a blank. Massimo Carrera's men have scored in each of their last five league games, and it's worth noting that 11 of CSKA's last 14 Champions League away games have seen an Over 2.5 Goals bet pay out.
At 1.9720/21, I feel overs is attractively priced here, so that's what we'll plump for.
Back Over 2.5 Goals at 1.9720/21
2016 P/L (1 pt per bet)
Points Staked: 136
Points Returned: 138.63
P/L: +2.63 points