We're still hunting for goals with Kev, and Portugal is our latest destination.
"Aves have scored six goals in their last three home games, and Setubal have conceded more goals on the road than any other team."
Aves v Vitoria Setubal
Thursday 29 March, 20:00
Both teams aiming to strike a blow in survival scrap
Like a cheap firework, Ascoli vs Bari started with a bang last night, and fizzled out quickly. A third-minute goal for the relegation-threatened hosts was enough for a vital 1-0 win. All very well for them, but it left us two goals short.
We continue our search for goals in Portugal, because there's a relegation battle between Desportivo Aves and Vitoria Setubal.
Aves were promoted as second-tier runners-up last term, and they are making a decent fist of staying in the top flight. They lost their last two games before the winter break at Benfica and Guimaraes, but their recent home form has been encouraging. CDA have taken five points from their last three home matches, and have scored six goals across that trio of outings. Despite that burst, they are just two points above the dropzone.
Vitoria Setubal are one of three clubs who are locked together with Aves on 25 points. Their problem all season has been their awful away form. They haven't won on the road in the league this term, and they have leaked 33 goals on their travels, more than any other team. It's therefore no surprise that eight of their last ten away games have featured three goals or more.
Aves have scored half of their home goals in the last three matches, and they are up against one of the worst defences in the division. Half of their last 20 league games have featured at least three goals, and I think Over 2.5 Goals looks a bit over-priced here at 2.245/4.
Points Staked: 51
Points Returned: 51.45
P/L: +0.45 points
Over 2.5 Goals at 2.245/4