We're heading back to South America for what should be a thriller in Brazil.
"Sao Paulo have seen five of their last seven league games feature at least three goals, and the hosts tend to see plenty of goals at both ends on home soil."
Atletico PR v Sao Paulo
Saturday 09 June, 20:00
There could be goals galore in Brazilian clash
They left it a little later than we would have liked, but South Africa shouldered the entire burden of our Over 2.5 Goals bet, beating Botswana 3-0 to lift the COSAFA Plate.
With a spring in our step, we switch from Africa to South America, because there's an intriguing clash between Atletico PR and Sao Paulo in the Brazilian top flight.
Atletico PR have made a poor start to the campaign, and are currently in the relegation zone. They have won just two of their first ten games, and they have lost their last two matches. However, there is some cause for hope ahead of tonight's home game against Sao Paulo, as Atletico haven't lost any of their last 19 home games against the Tricolor.
Sao Paulo finished a lowly 13th in Serie A last season, but they have flown out of the traps in this campaign, and have made their way into the top six. They have lost just once in the league, and their games have generally been pretty lively, featuring an average of 2.5 goals per match.
I fancy that trend of high entertainment to continue. Five of Sao Paulo's last seven league games have featured three goals or more, as have their last three away matches. Atletico PR have seen five of their last six home games get above the 2.5 goals line, and the last three meetings between the teams have seen an Over 2.5 Goals bet land.
On that basis, I'm happy to back Over 2.5 Goals at [2.4]
Points Staked: 88
Points Returned: 93.12
P/L: +5.12 points
Back over 2.5 Goals at [2.4]