Against All Odds: Tough life for overs backers at the MetLife Stadium

Carlos Tevez hasn't scored for his country since 2011
Carlos Tevez hasn't scored for his country since 2011

There's international friendly action for Paul Robinson tonight as he thinks that there won't be many goals when Argentina take on Ecuador.

"Star man, Lionel Messi, is unlikely to be involved due to injury"

Lay Over 2.5 goals in Argentina v Ecuador @ 1.981/1

Argentina v Ecuador
Wednesday April 1, 00:30 BST
Available on Betfair Live Video

Tonight concludes Argentina's short tour of North America as they take on fellow South Americans, Ecuador, at the MetLife Stadium. They edged out El Savador on Saturday but will need to improve against better opposition.

Star man, Lionel Messi, is unlikely to be involved due to injury but Carlos Tevez is back from the international wilderness and he could partner Gonzalo Higuain again. I just can't see Gerardo Martino's side scoring too many goals here though as since the World Cup they have only netted two or more in a game on two of six occasions. That has led to three of their last five going under 2.5 goals and they are definitely weaker without Messi.

Ecuador will also be without one of their main men as Enner Valencia is absent through injury. Four points from their group games wasn't enough to earn them a place in the last 16 of the World Cup and since then it's been a mixed bag - two heavy wins as well as defeats against Brazil and Mexico.

As far as the goals go, Gustavo Quinteros' team were beaten 1-0 at the weekend and that now means that three of their last four fixtures have rewarded over 2.5 goal layers. Coming up against Argentina is tough at any time, but without their main goal threat, it's hard to imagine them scoring.

With over 2.5 goals a shade of odds-on at the 1.981/1 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.

Recommended Bet
Lay Over 2.5 goals in Argentina v Ecuador @ 1.981/1

2015 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 88 pts
Returned: 73.45 pts
P/L: - 14.55 pts (after commission)
(2014 P/L: + 17.34 pts)
(2013 P/L: + 3.80 pts)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)

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