Valencia v Deportivo
Sunday April 2, 17:30 BST
Live on Sky Sports 2
It's 14th versus 15th at the Mestalla this evening with both teams edging clear of the relegation zone. The hosts are far from what they were just a couple of short years ago but they are at least set to secure their future in La Liga, which wasn't a certainty at the turn of the year.
The visitors have been revived under Pepe Mel and the former Betis and WBA boss managed to pick up eight points from a possible 12 before a 1-0 defeat to Celta Vigo prior to the international break.
This one is all about goals for me though and with 38 scored and 51 conceded so far this term, Valencia's matches are averaging 3.18 goals each time. A total of 19 of their 28 have seen this selection land and that includes four of their six most recent outings.
Deportivo have a lower average at the 2.64 mark, but that's still above the magic 2.5 number and almost half of their fixtures this season have seen under 2.5 layers collect. They are also usually good for goals on the road - one blank in 10 - and that has helped lead to six of the 10 to have the net bulge three times or more.
With the pressure slightly off the players, I'm hopeful of some decent attacking football in this one, so with under 2.5 goals trading at around the [1.96] mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.
Lay Under 2.5 Goals in Valencia v Deportivo @ [1.96]
2017 P/L (1pt each bet)
Wagered: 71 pts
Returned: 61.58 pts
P/L: -9.42 pts