It's Brazil's Serie B that takes Paul Robinson's focus tonight as he is expecting at least three goals when Criciuma take on Goias.
"The visitors are seeing their matches average 2.62 goals each time and half a dozen of their 13 have seen this selection land – including two of their last three."
Criciuma v Goias
Saturday July 15, 01:30 BST
The hosts come into the match on an eight match unbeaten streak, yet they are still only 13th in the table. That's largely down to the fact that they took just one point from their opening five fixtures, although it is worth noting that three most recent outings were only draws.
Their opponents tonight are higher in the table but have the same amount of points. They aren't in good form though as they have now lost three of their last four games - including a defeat to Guarani during the week.
The goal stats aren't massively pointing towards a high-scoring affair but there are enough reasons to be positive about taking on the under at the prices.
The visitors are seeing their matches average 2.62 goals each time and half a dozen of their 13 have seen this selection land - including two of their last three.
Criciuma's average is down at the 2.08 mark and although only five of their 13 have gone over, four of those have come from their six home fixtures to date.
This one is a pure value selection, so with under 2.5 goals trading at around the [1.82] mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.
Lay Under 2.5 Goals in Criciuma v Goias @ [1.82]
2017 P/L (1pt each bet)
Wagered: 147 pts
Returned: 147.93 pts
P/L: +0.93 pts
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