Alaves v Sevilla
Monday March 6, 19:45 GMT
It's been a good campaign for Alaves since their promotion from the second tier as they are sitting comfortably in mid-table having taken 33 points from their 25 fixtures to date.
It's been an even better season for Sevilla as they are still in the title hunt - something which they're never usually involved with - and they also have one foot in the last eight of the Champions League.
If Jorge Sampaoli has serious desires about topping Barcelona and Real Madrid, he needs his side to be winning games like this. That should hopefully lead to an attacking policy from the manager and that is reflected in the fact that seven of their last eight on the road have seen under 2.5 layers collect - with his only players contributing 19 goals themselves during that period.
The hosts come into the game with four of their five most recent league outings end with the ball in the net on at least three occasions - including three of their last four in front of their own fans.
Despite their success this term, Barcelona beat them 6-0 on this ground under a month ago and while I doubt that Sevilla will get quite that many, I do fancy that their attacking players will be in for a prosperous evening. Which is why, with under 2.5 goals trading at around the [1.81] mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.
Lay Under 2.5 Goals in Alaves v Sevilla @ [1.81]
2017 P/L (1pt each bet)
Wagered: 48 pts
Returned: 44.99 pts
P/L: -3.01 pts