In Serie A this afternoon, Verona travel to Udinese and Paul Robinson thinks they have a decent chance of getting a result despite their huge odds.
"Hellas Verona have done exceptionally well this season as following their promotion from Serie B last term, they are up in sixth place with 29 points."
Udinese haven't exactly enjoyed a stellar campaign as last year's fifth place finishers are down in 12th having picked up just 20 points from their opening 17 fixtures. They did win their last game before the winter break but that was against second from bottom Livorno and prior to that they had taken just one point from a possible nine.
Francesco Guidolin's side have struggled at home of late as it's three defeats in four at Stadio Friuli, with just a single goal scored. It has to be noted that they faced strong opposition during that period and before that they were unbeaten in 22 Serie A matches in front of their own fans, however those recent results could have knocked their confidence.
Hellas Verona have done exceptionally well this season as following their promotion from Serie B last term, they are up in sixth place with 29 points. Before the winter break kicked in they had gone three without defeat - beating Atalanta and Lazio, and drawing with Catania.
Andrea Mandorlini's men have been unstoppable at home as 24 of their 29 points have come at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi. That mean their form on the road isn't exactly great but there are mitigating circumstances. Of the five matches they have lost on their travels, four of them came against teams who are currently in the top five in the division, and the other was at 10th placed Genoa.
Given Udinese's usual strong home form and Verona's struggles away, you'd have to favour the former on paper. However that doesn't quite tell the whole story, so with Udinese trading at around the 1.8910/11 mark, I have to make them my lay of the day.
Lay Udinese v Verona @ 1.8910/11
2014 P/L (1pt each bet)
Wagered: 4 pts
Returned: 4.52 pts
P/L: + 0.52 pts (after commission)
(2013 P/L: + 3.80 pts)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)