It's make or break time for Liverpool in their quest for their first ever Premier League title and Paul Robinson thinks that the goals will flow when they travel to Selhurst Park this evening.
"The players put a hell of a lot of work into getting where they are and with nothing really left to play for, I can see them switching off."
Crystal Palace have had an astonishing turn around in results since Tony Pulis was appointed manager as they've gone from being long odds-on to be relegated, to a side who still have a chance of a top half finish with two games to go. While they were beaten last weekend by Man City, prior to that it was five successive victories, so they are clearly in good form.
Their opponents, Liverpool, also had a winning run ended last weekend, but theirs could have a much more damaging effect on their season. A point would have been good enough at home to Chelsea but a dogged Chelsea performance and a ragged Liverpool one led to a 2-0 win for The Blues. That result, as well as Man City's subsequent victories, has put the title firmly back in City's hands. Unless Pellegrini's men slip up at home to Villa or West Ham, The Reds somehow need to overturn a goal difference deficit of nine.
I'm not a big believer in history repeating itself but it would seem remiss of me not to mention that the last time Liverpool won the top division of English football, they beat Crystal Palace 9-0. I do take considerably more notice from the fact that Brendan Rodgers' side have netted an incredible 96 goals so far this year, and they are more than capable of racking up a fair few tonight.
It can be argued that Palace's defence under Pulis has been rock solid, but with Stoke and Newcastle winning over the weekend, it's likely that The Eagles will now finish in 11th place. The players put a hell of a lot of work into getting where they are and with nothing really left to play for, I can see them switching off.
It's also worth remembering that Liverpool have conceded 46 goals in this campaign to date, so a clean sheet for the away side is far from a given. I don't normally select a bet at these odds, but all things considered, at around the 1.282/7 mark, I have to make under 4.5 goals my lay of the day.
Lay Under 4.5 goals in Crystal Palace v Liverpool @ 1.282/7
2014 P/L (1pt each bet)
Wagered: 121 pts
Returned: 135.23 pts
P/L: + 14.23 pts (after commission)
(2013 P/L: + 3.80 pts)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)