In Serie A this evening, Udinese travel to Sampdoria and Paul Robinson thinks the goals will flow in a match that's live on BT Sport 2 at 18:00 GMT.
"After firing three blanks in their opening trio at home, the Genoa outfit have scored in their next six at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, keeping just two clean sheets."
Sampdoria are 15th at the halfway stage of the season after winning just four of their 18 fixtures to date. They lost last time out - 2-0 at Napoli - but prior to that they had turned the corner to be unbeaten in five, including victories over Catania and Chievo.
Siniša Mihajlović's side don't score too many goals - 19 so far - but their matches are still averaging a total of 2.56 goals each time, with seven of their 18 going over 2.5. After firing three blanks in their opening trio at home, the Genoa outfit have scored in their next six at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, keeping just two clean sheets.
Udinese are only one place above tonight's opponents but they do have a two point cushion so anything other than a defeat will see them retain their positional advantage. If they can win though, they could go as high as 10th depending on the margin of victory.
As far as the goals go, Francesco Guidolin's men have seen three of their last four go over 2.5 and that includes a 3-3 draw with Napoli and a 3-1 defeat to Hellas Verona. If we concentrate solely on their results away from Stadio Friuli, we can see that three of their last five have had three goals or more and that they haven't kept a clean sheet all season.
This pair are two of the more lower-scoring teams in the division but they still get their fair share and the market hasn't seemed to acknowledge that. That's why, with under 2.5 currently trading at around the 1.654/6 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.
Lay Under 2.5 goals in Sampdoria v Udinese @ 1.654/6
2014 P/L (1pt each bet)
Wagered: 11 pts
Returned: 11.17 pts
P/L: + 0.17 pts (after commission)
(2013 P/L: + 3.80 pts)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)