It's the Milan derby this evening and Paul Robinson thinks it will be a tight affair with few goals.
"Roberto Mancini’s side are seeing their games average 1.9 goals each time – the lowest in the entire division – and that has led to 11 of their 21 seeing over 1.5 layers paid out."
AC Milan v Inter
Sunday January 31, 19:45 GMT
Live on BT Sport Europe
Both Milan clubs aren't the powerhouses they once were a few years ago as it's now Juventus, Napoli and Roma who have been doing the best in Italy of late.
Inter are fourth in Serie A but one win in five has seen them slip out of the title race and they are now in a battle to finish in the Champions League places.
Milan are down in sixth but a win over their rivals tonight would see them move to within five points of Inter and they would still have a chance of finishing in the top three. A loss and you would feel it would be hard for them to achieve that goal.
We're all about how many goals are going to be scored though and with 55 between them in 41 fixtures, the pair of them are scoring less than 1.5 goals each time on average.
Roberto Mancini's side are seeing their games average 1.9 goals each time - the lowest in the entire division - and that has led to 11 of their 21 seeing over 1.5 layers paid out.
Siniša Mihajlović's men have a higher average at the 2.57 mark but a third of their games have ended with this selection landing and it's a worth noting the recent scorelines between these two - 0-1, 1-0, 1-0, 0-0, 1-1, 1-0, 1-0, 1-1 and 0-1.
I really can't see many goals at the San Siro today, so with over 1.5 trading at around the 1.51/2 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.
Lay Over 1.5 goals in AC Milan v Inter @ 1.51/2
2015/16 P/L (1pt each bet)
Wagered: 148 pts
Returned: 140.59 pts
P/L: -7.41 pts