Serie A Betting: Don't doubt Juve at Roma

Francesco Totti and Leonardo Bonucci lock swords again in Roma v Juventus
Francesco Totti and Leonardo Bonucci lock swords again in Roma v Juventus

Dave Farrar predicts the Bianconeri will emerge victorious from the Olimpico, goals around Napoli and Atalanta to shine.

“There won't be many chances to back Juventus to win a Serie A game at 2.8815/8, and so we should grab it with both hands.”

Roma v Juventus
Sunday, 17:00
Live on BT Sport Europe

Rather like Manchester City against Chelsea a couple of weeks ago in the Premier League, Serie A doesn't seem quite ready for a clash of this magnitude, but in Week 2 we have what feels like a season defining match.

Only four teams have ever lost their opening game and gone on to win Serie A, but given that two of those were Juventus, I don't think that fans of the Bianconeri will be too worried.

Juve may have lost against Udinese, but they played well and were caught with a sucker punch. I don't think that the result shows a decline in the Champions, more a case of football being occasionally unfair and unpredictable.

Max Allegri probably regrets starting Kingsley Coman rather than Paulo Dybala, and had the Argentine played, then Juve would almost certainly have won. Equally, if Mario Mandzukic had finished one of his many chances, the result would also have been different.

Udinese went to Turin to defend, but Roma won't be able to do the same at the Olimpico. They were poor in their opening game against Verona and could easily have lost, so a possible decline in Rudi Garcia's team makes Juventus strong favourites on Sunday afternoon.

Paul Pogba will dominate the midfield, Roma will struggle to make an impact against the Juve back three, and I suspect it will be business as usual.

Don't forget that Juve have an excellent record both against Roma and in Rome, and that Garcia has had nightmares trying to deal with them.

One inconsistent performance in front of goal doesn't change any of that, and there's a strong argument to say that Juve are stronger this season than they were in the last campaign. I'm not sure that I can make the same case for Roma.

There won't be many chances to back Juventus to win a Serie A game at 2.8815/8, and so we should grab it with both hands.

Recommended Bet: Back Juventus to beat Roma @ 2.8815/8


Napoli v Sampdoria
Sunday, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1

Both Napoli and Samp have new Coaches this season, and it was good old Walter Zenga who had the dream start, with his team blowing away the newcomers Carpi. It may be a long season for them. For Samp fans who were still grumbling about the departure of Sinisa Mihaijlovic to Milan, and humiliated by a 4-0 Europa League defeat to Vojvodina, there may just be a bit of hope.

Napoli were poor in their defeat against Sassuolo, but they're sure to be stronger at home, and one thing that did continue last week was the theme of goals in their matches. There were three last week and at the San Paolo there is even more chance of an attacking game.

The last time that a Napoli home fixture in Serie A didn't feature Over 2.5 Goals was on March 22 (and that was 1-1). There's an argument to say that Maurizio Sarri's style is more open than Rafa Benitez's, and that increases our chances as well. It was 4-2 when these two met towards the end of last season, and it wouldn't surprise me greatly to see something similar here.

Samp may be a little more cautious here than they were in last week's madness against Carpi, but with Luis Muriel and Antonio Cassano as potent attacking options, they seem sure to cause Napoli a whole load of trouble. Sunday night should be fun: Roma v Juve followed by this.

Recommended Bet: Back Over 3.5 Goals in Napoli v Sampdoria @ 2.915/8


Atalanta v Frosinone
Sunday, 19:45


Frosinone led last week against Torino, but succumbed in the second half, and while I'm wary of trying to milk the same opinion for too long, I think that they'll continue to struggle. Carpi were the obvious first time failures last week, but that shouldn't overshadow the fact the Frosinone also look set to run into difficulties.

Atalanta held on until late against Inter last week, and Edy Reja will use the positives from that performance to try and influence this one. The hosts are without injured German Denis, but Mauricio Pinilla is a useful replacement and with the likes of Maxi Moralez to create, I think that Reja's team should have too much.

Frosinone will have their moments this season, but as they continue to acclimatise to Serie A, they're worth opposing for now.

Recommended Bet: Back Atalanta to beat Frosinone @ 1.824/5

2015-16 P/L

Dave Farrar is a Commentator on BT Sport and author of the bestselling gambling book "The Perfect Punter." So far this season, he has staked 3 points on Serie A and is 0.74 points down.

Staked: 3
Returned: 2.26
P/L: -0.74

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