Fantasy Premier League

FPL Flutters: Haaland 6/4 to score more FPL points than Salah on MD12

Liverpool striker Mohamed Salah
Will Salah or Haaland score more FPL points on MD12?

Each week, the Betfair Traders will select a handful of the best FPL angles to give you a chance to back up your strongest Fantasy Football opinions on the Betfair Sportsbook. This week, we've got five of the best bets, including two involving Erling Haaland.

  • Maddison-less Spurs can still rely on Son to hit 4+ points

  • Gordon set to start as striker and is 2/13.00 to outscore Trippier

  • Forest at home for an in-form Jarrod Bowen

  • Will Haaland and Jackson combine for 8+ points at 10/111.91?

  • Haaland and Salah compete in 6/42.50 wager

Bet #1 - Son to score 4+ FPL points @ 10/111.91

Who is playing for Spurs on Saturday? Your guess is as good as mine after two red cards and a boat load of injuries. Only four of their starting XI finished the game on Monday evening vs Chelsea. Thank God one of them was captain Son Heung-Min.

He's likely to be without his main partner in crime James Maddison for the trip to Wolves, though he remains the main goal threat. We also know he's on penalty duty, and, might even take over both corner and free-kick duty too in the Englishman's abscence.

That means, for Son to hit 4+ FPL points, he will likely need to simply score or assist. Even an assist & a (very rare) yellow card for Son would leave him on four points (before bonus).

He's only missed the 4+ point mark in two of his last six, and the Chelsea game basically doesn't count after he was asked the lead the line for nine men. The added responsibility on his shoulders makes this even more likely, in my opinion on Saturday.

Back Son Heung-Min to score 4+ FPL points @ 10/111.91

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Bet #2 - Gordon to score more FPL points than Trippier @ 2/13.00

Hmm. It's Bournemouth away for Eddie How's side and this FPL bet is the longest odds of the lot. No surprise, really, considering Tripper (68) has the fifth most points of any player, though Gordon is also having a terrific season (54).

The extra advantage Gordon may have here is that he is likely to start as the main striker, with both Callum Wilson and Aleksandar Isak's fitness in question. He's played that role a few times already this season, too.

The risk here is Trippier and his pesky assists. The Englishman has registered six FPL assists this season, and is on all set-pieces for Newcastle. Any assist coupled with a clean sheet would make it very difficult for Gordon. Even last week against Arsenal, Gordon netted the winner in a 1-0 win, but a yellow card likely scuppered any chance of bonus and he ended on seven points.

Trippier, meanwhile, scooped up three bonus - as he often does - to go with his clean sheet and finish on nine. This bet was a loser last week.

However, a single Bournemouth goal would increase Gordon's chances significantly, though, and if he were then able to score or assist, this would be more likely to be a winner. Gordon has only outscored Trippier on two MDs so far this season. A word of warning.

Back Gordon to score more FPL points than Trippier @ 2/13.00

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Bet #3 - Jarrod Bowen to score 4+ FPL points @ 1/12.00

Jarrod Bowen has scored 4+ points in seven of West Ham's 11 Premier League games this season (63%). However, all four of those blanks have come in home matches, somehow.

Nottingham Forest travel to the Hammers this Sunday and this could be a great chance for Bowen to get his home form back on track. Yes, Forest come here after a great win over Villa, but there is a stark contrast in their away form compared to that of the City Ground.

Since the start of last season, Nottingham Forest have lost more away Premier League games than any other side (17). They've also failed to score in 13 away games in that time, two more than any other team. I told you.

This is gearing up toward a home win, and Bowen has scored in two of his last three in the Premier League (v Villa and Brentford). Remember, an assist would also likely be enough here, too. Bowen has the sixth most points in the game in 2023-24, and wth over 22% ownership, I personally think he still isn't as popular as he should be. William Saliba is owned by more players, for context.

He's West Ham's top scorer, on set-pieces and is their main focus in attack. The chances will be there on Sunday.

Back Jarrod Bowen to score 4+ FPL points @ 1/12.00

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Bet #4 - Haaland & Jackson to combine for 8+ FPL points @ 10/111.91

Erling Haaland averages 8.5 points per 90 in this season's FPL game, and this double involves two players combining for 8+. Need I go on?

It doesn't matter how we get there, if one of the two managed the eight on their own and the other registered zero (despite playing), we'd be settled as a winner, though the comfort they can pool their points is fine with me.

Let's start with Jackson, as we know he's not the most popular pick in the game at the moment, though back to back 90 minute performances and 18 points means maybe he's at the beginning of a purple patch.

He is the club's top scorer, takes the most shots per 90 and in turn has the highest average xG at the club, despite a level of underperformance. He's young, raw, but he gets into positions and has plenty of attempts. It's the recipe for a return no matter the opposition. Let us not forget too that City have only managed five clean sheets in 18 this season. Surely Jackson can build on his Monday night hat-trick.

Haaland, then, we all know his numbers. We don't even need his averages to paint a picture; he's the main man, has more goals in the Premier League than games played (47 vs 44) and showed in midweek he's fit, with two goals against Young Boys.

One goal from one of these men (4 pts) plus 60 mins+ played each (4 pts) would see this bet land with ease. at 10/111.91, this is the one to be bullish about.

Back Haaland & Jackson to combine for 8+ FPL points @ 10/111.91

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Bet #5 - Erling Haaland to score more FPL points than Mohamed Salah @ 6/42.50

The big one. The head-to-head FPL battle that settles all else. We've got Haaland - owned by nearly 83% of all players, against the fourth most owned player in the game in Salah (45%).

Haaland may be owned by more players, but Salah tops the overall score list, leading the Dane by five points (85 to 80). They both sit first and second when it comes to goals + assists in the Premier League too, with Haaland on 11 goals, 2 assists) and Salah on eight goals and four assists. Salah has been the FPL king for multiple years now, but we know Haaland is set to take the throne.

Anyway, who can outscore the other this weekend? On paper, Salah is at home to mid-table side, and Haaland is away to a fellow big-six side, although we can't really class Chelsea in the same bracket as City at the moment, let's be honest.

Chelsea have lost their last six meetings with Man City without scoring a single goal, whilst they've lost eight home games in 2023 - their most ever in a calendar year. City are travelling to one of the poorest home sides in the competition right now, regardless of their name, and with the best number nine in the world. FPL players know that Haaland is fixture proof.

So with Salah kicking off first at 2pm, we'll know the benchmark set by the Egyptian against Brentford. Please note, at that stage, the Haaland price may change depending on what he needs to do to beat him.

Salah has the potential to go big against Brentford, though they have managed two clean sheets in their last three. When Thomas Frank's side get it right at the back, they can be tough to breakdown. And they will turn up to Anfield with a plan.

This could go either way, hence the 6/42.50 price, but if you captain one (and not the other), then taking a punt on this bet may give you the hedge and comfort you need in this weekend's FPL.

Back Haaland to score more FPL points than Salah on MD12 @ 6/42.50

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