Fleetwood are strong favourites to beat a lowly non-league side in front of the TV cameras on Monday night but our man Alan Dudman believes backing goals is the way to profit from this first round tie...
"Rosler's side do have a bit of speed about them up front, and they play well on the counter-attack. They have only collected two wins on the road this term, and bizarrely have lost five times away from home to the tune of a 2-1 scoreline."
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.855/6 Southport v Fleetwood
Southport 6.806/1 v Fleetwood Town 1.4840/85, the draw 4.607/2
Monday, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1
Fleetwood face a Southport team that have struggled for much of the season in the National League - but have picked up recently to move up to 19th. The market tells us that a cup upset is highly unlikely, but I wouldn't be in a mad rush to go in at 1.4840/85 for an away victory- it's just too short.
Southport do not quite have the profile of Eastleigh, but canny manager Steve Burr has engineered FA Cup success before with Chester and Northwich Victoria. However, their problems are apparent just looking at their goals 'for and against' tally - they've conceded 37 and netted just 16.
Opta stats do not scream in favour of Fleetwood - who have fallen at the first hurdle in each of the previous two seasons, and failing to score in three successive matches in the competition.
However, they were pushing for a play-off place prior to Tuesday's 2-1 defeat against a decent Bristol Rovers side. They took the lead early but were pinned back and sat too deep. Cod Army manager Uwe Rosler thought his centre-backs were outstanding, but they got a little tired towards the end of the match. It's a major plus this game is on a Monday.
Rosler's side do have a bit of speed about them up front, and they play well on the counter-attack. They have only collected two wins on the road this term, and bizarrely have lost five times away from home to the tune of a 2-1 scoreline. But they have found the back of the net in every match on the road.
Southport beat Chester 1-0 in their qualifying round to get here, and their top-scorer is former Fleetwood man Jamie Allen with three goals.
Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.855/6