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Peterborough United v Leicester City: Defence to win the battle against attack

Claude Puel's Leicester are bidding for a club record sixth clean sheet in a row this Saturday
Claude Puel's Leicester are bidding for a club record sixth clean sheet in a row this Saturday
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Alan Dudman successfully tipped the 2-0 correct score in Leicester's match against Fleetwood, and he's got three selections for the Premier League club's away trip to Peterborough this Saturday lunchtime in the FA Cup fourth round.....

"The Foxes have kept five successive clean sheets in all competitions - which includes shutouts against Chelsea, Watford and Huddersfield."

Back 0-0 Peterborough v Leicester Correct Score @ [12.0]

Peterborough United v Leicester City
Saturday 27th January, 12:30
Live on BT Sport 2

Attacking Posh are defending too

I've often referred to Peterborough as the "Goal Kings" of League One, and there were golden times for backers of that bet with the Posh a couple of seasons ago when the 2.5 target was hit as often as an ice cream van plays Greensleeves. Good times for many.

This season they have scored 46 in League One (23 home and 23 away), but have really lived up to their billing in the FA Cup this term; smashing five against Tranmere away from home, with the same amount in a 5-2 success at Woking. Steve Bruce's Aston Villa were also on the receiving end of an exciting Posh display in the Midlands - with the third tier outfit running out 3-1 winners.

Recently, Grant McCann's playoff-chasers have got the other side of things sorted. With centre-backs Steven Taylor and Ryan Tafazolli enjoying the shielding midfield play of Anthony Grant, the defence is looking in good shape these days. The 3-0 win last Saturday against Oldham completed a run of three successive clean sheets for the first time in over four years.

Foxes continue to improve under steady Puel

Leicester have progressed from six of their last seven fourth round ties against lower-league opposition according to Opta, and are one of the form teams at the moment. Heading into this Saturday's FA Cup tie, the Foxes have kept five successive clean sheets in all competitions - which includes shutouts against Chelsea, Watford and Huddersfield. The 0-0 draw at Stamford Bridge against the PL Champions was one of their best displays of the season.

Puel is often seen as a fairly dour character, but I really like what he is doing at the King Power and I think the label is a little unfair. Taking the club up to seventh in the Premier League and winning seven of his 15 games in charge means that European football is on the agenda, and he's also worked the magic on Riyad Mahrez. He's got a tune out of the Algerian once again, and there is no finer sight then watching the winger in full flow with those Eddie Gray-like dribbles.

On the downside, Leicester were held 0-0 at Fleetwood in the third round of this competition and didn't muster a shot on target. The Foxes won the replay 2-0 - which was also a winning tip at [6.0] for the column.

The men from the King Power can be backed at [22.0] in the FA Cup winner market.

Foxes odds-on, but what sort of side will Puel send out?

Leicester were [1.28] to beat Fleetwood in their home FA Cup replay, but you can take the [1.61] on offer for an away victory here. It's quite an attractive price if you like those shorties, but as always with top flight teams in these sorts of games, you need to try and second-guess what sort of side Puel will send out. And that's never easy.

I was quite taken aback that Mahrez started in the Fleetwood replay, and he played 81 minutes. I'd love to see him feature for the 90 at the ABAX. We probably will see Kelechi Iheanacho begin from the outset, though - and he netted both in that 2-0 win against the Cod Army.

Peterborough are [5.80] to back and have some "Box Office" players in League One. It could be the sort of occasion to lift the mercurial, yet sometimes unplayable Marcus Maddison.

Low-scoring game on the cards

The clean sheet theme has been a constant so far in this preview. We'll throw in another Opta stat for good measure. Should Leicester not concede in this game, it will equal a club record of six in a row. The Under 2.5 Goals is chalked-up at [2.06], with the braver Under 1.5 nudging [3.90]. If you are weighing up those bets, you can take a bit of heart from Leicester's poor effort at Fleetwood in terms of the shots on goal.

It could be different if Mahrez or Jamie Vardy starts.

Peterborough's Over 2.5 record in the FA Cup this term reads 3/5 in favour, whilst their League One tally adds up to 9/14.

The Sportsbook price of 2/9 for 'no' in the Both Teams To Score First Half tells you that the markets are anticipating a close encounter - maybe as close as Leicester's 0-0 at Fleetwood? We can play the 0-0 Correct Score bet here, which in a tight first half, could present an opportunity to trade out.

Can Foxes keep Marriott quiet?

Plenty of words so far, and no mention of Peterborough's goal-scoring machine Jack Marriott. The 23-year-old striker hit his 24th goal of the season in Saturday's 3-0 win against Oldham, and with his five netted in the FA Cup so far (two each against Woking and Aston Villa), he is the danger man for the Leicester defence.

Marriott never stops running and has shown a brilliant attitude all season. His finishing is fairly deadly too. Crystal Palace are the latest club linked with the forward, with rumours suggesting a fee of around £7 million. It tells you a lot about his stock that he is priced at 15/8 in the To Score market on the Sportsbook - which is quite short considering he is facing a Premier League club. You can back Vardy in the same market at 5/6, but I would prefer going with the 21/20 on Mahrez.

Peterborough's Marriott is excellent - but that's a short price. He pulled out of their EFL Trophy game on Tuesday just before kick off, so hopefully he will make the starting eleven on Saturday.


Alan Dudman's P&L for 2017/18

League One: +13.97
FA Cup: +1.11

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