Mansfield 2.89/5 v Plymouth 2.77/4; the draw 3.613/5
One wonders how focused a team leading a division really are on the FA Cup. That's not to imply any deliberate attempt to lose, more a psychological affliction when a break from the league on a Saturday comes along. It gives teams clearly chasing promotion a bit of a get out.
There is nothing to be lost, for Plymouth, in winning, of course, because the second round date is a free Saturday otherwise. Or maybe that's a bonus that the psyche hankers for.
On form, the Pilgrims would be expected to repeat their victory in August over Mansfield, 2-0 at home, but the Stags have only lost three since then - and narrowly, 1-0 or 2-1. All at home, as it happens. They have also won just once in ten games. This, then, gives them a chance to prove their worth to home fans by defeating a strong team.
Mansfield's games tend not to be high scoring, while Plymouth's are full of goals, but this is a chance for Matt Green to remind a wider range of people who might be watching about his skills and improve his chances of a move to a higher division. He is unlikely to gain promotion with Adam Murray's men.
Graham Carey, another player who could play in a higher division, might well gain promotion with Plymouth. They led the division into Christmas last year of course and fell away badly. They won't want that to happen again and an off day here might do them favours in the long run. The odds on the visitors seem to hint at the possibility of an off day. Opta's stats that Plymouth haven't won away in the FA Cup since January 2007 will also give the home side hope.
Back Mansfield @ 2.89/5
Exeter 3.02/1 v Luton 2.68/5; the draw 3.613/5
Is this tie Exeter's chance to shrug off an unwanted record of no home wins this season? Or might they just have bumped into Luton at the right time?
Grecians boss Paul Tisdale still has fans on his back, although perhaps they should remember that they are a fan-owned club and look at the long-term mess down the road in Torquay, who are up for sale again this week.
Exeter remain capable of goals and victories, three goals in the first 35 minutes at Morecambe - one of their longest trips of the season - proves that. Maybe they need to stay in a hotel overnight for home games.
This match, in the FA Cup, represents a "free hit" to rectify an astonishing statistic of scoring just twice at home, in contrast to 14 away, League Two's joint second highest total.
David Wheeler, Lee Holmes and Reuben Reid, among others, surely have a point to prove to their home support.
Luton don't seem to be in the finest fettle. They might be seven games unbeaten, but five of those are low scoring draws. They have plenty of firepower, including Cameron McGeehan and Danny Hylton, but I'll be taking a chance on Exeter getting a monkey off their back with a home win. Opta state that Luton have progressed through 11 of their last 12 first round ties but the hosts will be hoping this is that one in a dozen chance.
Back Exeter @ 3.02/1
Shrewsbury 2.01/1 v Barnet 4.03/1; the draw 4.03/1
Paul Hurst, recently recruited from Grimsby Town, presided over his first match as Shrewsbury boss on Saturday, earning the team a first point in five games.
On the one hand, he'll be glad of a break from the league as he tries to sort out his squad, but on the other he's still presumably experimenting and assessing and ideally not wanting to face a side led by Martin Allen in the cup, even at home.
I always wonder what that "Mad Dog" tag is all about. Allen has got himself into some scrapes over the years, but to me Mad Dog equates with Underdog and the spirit of landing a surprise by doing something different.
Hurst said the squad was down to its last four defenders for the weekend, something Barnet will be sure to exploit with the likes of the muscley John Akinde. He has scored 12 goals in the league this season. Plenty of chances are created. In their last seven games, the Bees have scored twice (or more) five times.
Shrewsbury's goal was scored by a defender last weekend - Adam El-Abd - with attacker Ivan Toney only able to hit the post. Andy Mangan must be itching for a start.
Barnet might not always have won those games in which they scored multiple time, but even so being able to score freely seems enough to justify a punt of 4.03/1 in a one-off FA Cup match where attacking can only be rewarded. There's nothing to lose.
Back Barnet @ 4.03/1
Sunday November 6, 2pm kickoff
Alfreton 4.03/1 v Newport 2.01/1; the draw 3.711/4
New boss Graham Westley could have done without facing a tricky FA Cup trip to a non-league side a league and half below his struggling Newport side, as he assesses his side.
The former Stevenage manager will know a fair bit about non-league clubs, albeit a while ago. He won't like the Opta stat which says the Exiles haven't kept a clean sheet in their last eight FA Cup matches - Newport have not been in the habit of keeping clean sheets this season, with just two in League Two. But he will be encouraged that the Reds have failed to beat league opposition on five occasions.
Rhys Healey, Jazzi Barnum-Bobb and Josh Sheehan will be eager to build on confidence after scoring in the win at Accrington last weekend.
Craig Westcarr and Jake Speight, much-travelled Football League strikers, are now plying their trade with the Conference North club and will be encouraged that Newport have needed replays to beat both Braintree and Brackley in the last two years, Opta state.
Back Alfreton and Newport to draw @ 3.711/4