Crawley v Bristol Rovers, Wednesday 19:45, BT Sport 1, Match Odds: Crawley 1.645/8, Bristol Rovers 6.411/2, The Draw 4.1
New Crawley manager John Gregory has had a rather unspectacular start to his new job, drawing his first two games, but he'll be hoping the spirit of the FA Cup, a competition where he led Aston Villa to a final in 2000, can trigger his first win as Town boss.
The markets suggest that Crawley are good things for a victory against League Two strugglers Bristol Rovers, but we're of the opinion that the match may go the same way as the first meeting and end up as a goalless draw.
The past two fixtures involving these two teams have produced 0-0 draws and punters should be open to the idea of this clash going the same way at a double figure pre-match price of 11.521/2.
The first real clue to if a game has the potential to end goalless is assessing each team's ability in front of goal. Thankfully for our bank balances, both Crawley and Rovers are awfully timid when tasked with putting the ball in the back of the net.
League One side Crawley are the joint-third lowest scorers in the division, scoring just 21 in 20 matches, whilst relegation threatened Rovers are also the third lowest goal-getters in League Two, bagging just 17 in 20, and have drawn 0-0 four times already this season.
Although carrying an affinity for wayward shooting, down the other end both sides in question are capable of shutting up shop. Gregory's men have drawn three of their last five games 0-0, and have kept a clean sheet in seven of their last 12 FA Cup matches.
Likewise, the Pirates are notoriously stingy in defence, possessing the joint-seventh best defence in League Two, with just 22 goals shipped in 20 games and they've kept clean sheets in three of their last four matches.
One of the big bonuses of betting with Betfair is the ability to trade out of a bet in-running. Incorporating that method into this 0-0 punt is the way forward.
Backing the goalless draw pre-match at 11.521/2 with a view to trading off when you've hit your happy profit number should be a wise tactic.
Under 2.5 Goals
Bettors that like to play the under/over 2.5 goal markets should take note that 12 of Crawley's last 14 League One games have produced two or less goals. That can be backed at 1.875/6 and provides a nice alternative to those that may find the outright 0-0 punt a tad bold.
Best Bet: Back-to-lay a 0-0 correct score @ 11.521/2
Other Recommended Bet: Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.8810/11