Cambridge v Leeds
Monday 9th January, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 2
Cambridge were rock-bottom of the League Two table after nine games but Shaun Derry has dramatically turned The U's fortunes around with Monday night's hosts suffering just three defeats in their past 16 league outings.
A change in system to accommodate Luke Berry into a number 10 role with Uche Ikpeazu leading the line in a 4-2-3-1 has worked wonders with Berry scoring eight goals in his four appearances at The Abbey alone.
Cambridge hammered League One strugglers Coventry City 4-0 to progress to this stage of the competition and won't need reminding that in 2015 they held Manchester United here 0-0 before hitting the post in the replay defeat at Old Trafford.
Garry Monk missed on the manager-of-the-month award for a second time this season in December despite guiding Leeds to fifth position after his side took 13 points from a possible 18 (W4-D1-L1).
The Whites' only loss in December came at Brighton where the defeat was incurred with 10 men. In fact, Monk's men have been in exceptional form since the middle of September, winning 14 of their last 20 matches.
The Leeds boss confirmed he's looking to pick a team that's capable of winning while freshening things up. Eunan O'Kane and Lewie Coyle are back in the fold but left-back Charlie Taylor remains a major injury concern and looks unlikely to play.
Cambridge have never tasted success against Leeds in four previous encounters (W0-D2-L2) but the two teams haven't met in a competitive fixture since 1984 and The U's are determined to make the most of their televised appearance.
According to Football Form Labs data, League Two sides have held a W7-D4-L10 record when welcoming Championship clubs in the FA Cup since 2006/07. Based on that record alone, there's value in Cambridge at 4.2016/5 quotes.
Leeds have also progressed past the third round in three of the past 13 seasons but arrive at The Abbey with four triumphs in their past six Championship road trips, as well as sitting 50 places higher in the football pyramid. The visitors are therefore understandable 2.001/1 favourites.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Only AFC Wimbledon (11) scored more goals in the first two rounds of the FA Cup proper this season than Cambridge's nine and the hosts have also found the back of the net in each of their past 12 outings when excluding the EFL Trophy.
Leeds have been silenced in just three of their past 15 fixtures in all formats and although Monk's men have kept things tight at the back, the resting and rotation of their first-choice XI could present opportunities for The U's.
Over 2.5 Goals can be punted at 2.0421/20 but a wiser selection might be to support Both Teams To Score at the slightly shorter price of 1.9010/11. It's proven profitable in seven of Cambridge's 12 home League Two games and four of Leeds' last five games as guests.
Back Both Teams To Score @ 1.9010/11