Premier League Tips

Sven-Goran Eriksson once called England and Germany the two biggest football nations in the world and, while that's debatable, it's certainly a titanic clash whenever they meet, especially in the knockout stages of a tournament. England are 1.865/6 to qualify from this Wembley tie with Germany 2.1211/10.

Paul Higham says: "England's last four victories have been 1-0s, three of the last four meetings with Germany have produced under 1.5 goals and Germany have conceded at least once in their last eight major tournament matches.

A 1-0 home win is priced at 7.513/2 and certainly has a weight of stats behind it. It's without doubt the most obvious way for the Three Lions to bag a first ever European Championship knockout victory in 90 minutes.

"They're slight 2.55 favourites to win inside the distance, with Germany 2.915/8, and the teams 1.84/5 and 2.01/1 respectively to qualify. Either team to win on penalties is 5.04/1 and spot-kicks will be all the talk before this game given the history.

"The first goal could be crucial, and while England have shown they can defend Germany went behind in all three group games inside 25 minutes. England either scored or hit the post inside 13 minutes of all three group games so 1.9110/11 on them to score first would be a sensible option."

Paul's bet: Back England to win and under 2.5 goals at 5.04/1

Glenn Hoddle: England will be better against Germany and I'm confident

In his latest Betfair exclusive former England manager Glenn Hoddle looks ahead to the Three Lions' huge game with Germany, and he's feeling very confident about the outcome.

Glenn says: "I don't know what the scoreline will be but I'm going for an England win in extra-time.

1280 Jack Grealish England.jpg

"I think we'll beat them over that period of time and the subs are going to play a massive part. I'm not too worried if I see Jack Grealish not starting. I've got a feeling he'll have a big impact later in the game. If he's starting someone else he will be left out to come on, Mason Mount maybe.

"I said at the beginning of the tournament, I think we've got really good game changers, like the French have got. We're ahead of Germany on the bench. They've still got a good squad, they're not a poor side.

"Fitness comes into it, the five subs come into it. We might see someone like Jadon Sancho or Marcus Rashford coming on from the bench, with their pace. If we want stability and a bit of experience, Henderson's had a bit of football, so he could come on and hold the fort with Rice. There's lots of positive options.

"If Gareth suddenly changes to a back three for the last 20 minutes, Mings is an option. There's some nice options from the bench deep into the game."

Glenn's bet: Back England to win in extra-time @ 11.010/1

Andy Brassell: England have nothing to fear

European football expert Andy Brassell knows all about this Germany squad and, in his view, this is far from a vintage version of Die Nationalmannschaft and England should beat them.

Andy says: "There's plenty to like about the ability at Löw's disposal but this current Germany are about as far from a solid unit who can grind out results as you could imagine.

"Their defensive record has been questionable for the last few years, but the lack of a collective plan and of any stability is exposed by some of the setbacks suffered in that time, not least November's 6-0 loss in Spain and the home defeat to North Macedonia in World Cup qualifying in March.

"That hall of horrors could have been augmented by a loss against Hungary in Munich in the final group match here but the joint enterprise of Bayern pair Jamal Musiala and Leon Goretzka saved them. Both will need to contribute significantly at Wembley if Germany are to flourish, but England can do just what Die Nationalmannschaft are habitually known for - edging their way to an unspectacular win."

Back England to beat Germany at 2.56/4

Sweden v Ukraine: Stubborn Swedes difficult to dismiss

Sweden v Ukraine
Tuesday June 29, 20:00
Live on BBC

Sweden and Ukraine head to Hampden Park for a last 16 clash which sees the Swedes as 2.486/4 favourites to win inside 90 minutes. Andriy Shevchenko's men are the 3.45 outsiders but they will be no pushovers.

Mark O'Haire says: "The Euro 2020 group-stage produced a reasonable 2.62 goals per-game with exactly half of the pool fixtures featuring Over 2.5 Goals 2.608/5. Nevertheless, European Championship knockout matches tend to be tight affairs with draws seeing a significant increase and goals per-game dropping to just 2.03 when viewing all knockout games since Euro '96.

"The goal line has been set low with Under 2.5 Goals trading at just 1.608/13. It's understandable considering Sweden prefer to cede possession to their opponents, opting for a contain and counter approach. It's largely paid dividends in recent months with the pre-match favourites recording six clean sheets in eight unbeaten encounters (W6-D2-L0).

"You have to go back to 2017 for the Blue-Yellow's last competitive loss against a side outside of the elite, and whilst Andriy Yarmolenko and Ruslan Malinovskiy have provided plenty of offensive threat for Ukraine thus far, the underdogs may struggle to penetrate a low defensive block at Hampden Park.

"This fixture is likely to be one for the purists but Sweden Double Chance and Under 2.5 Goals appears a worthy avenue of attack with the Bet Builder paying 1.875/6 on the Sportsbook."

Mark's bet: Back Sweden Double Chance and Under 2.5 Goals at 1.875/6 in Sweden v Ukraine

Euro 2020 Bet Builder: Expect cards in Sweden v Ukraine

Andy Schooler expects Tuesday's 8pm kick-off to be a close contest as he recommends a Bet Builder wager on the final tie of the round of 16...

Andy says: "Over 3.5 cards can be joined in our Bet Builder by 1+ shot for Ukraine right-back Oleksandr Karavayev, who has managed three shots in his three Euro 2020 games thus far.

"He's a threat from set pieces as well as getting forward down the right and across his 11 competitive starts for his country this season, the full-back has had at least one shot in six of them.

"With Sweden having conceded 15 shots per game so far on average - the sixth worst record of the 24 teams who started the tournament - Karavayev can happily be added to the coupon.

"To boost the price further, I'll add in under 3.5 goals. This has occurred in 12 of Sweden's last 14 competitive games, a notable exception being their last match against Poland.

"However, on that occasion the Poles were forced to go for all-out attack given the group situation and it's nigh-on impossible to see how this game will be so open. Nine of Ukraine's 12 competitive matches this season have landed the unders too."

Andy's bet: Back over 3.5 cards, 1+ Oleksandr Karavayev shot & under 3.5 goals in Sweden v Ukraine @ 3.7511/4

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