Euro 2020 Quarter-Finals Cheat Sheet: All Friday's bets in one place

  • Max Liu
  • 3:00 min read
Spain manager Luis Enrique
Luis Enrique's Spain have scored 10 goals in their last two matches

The Euro 2020 quarter-finals begin at 5pm so get the best bets from our experts for Friday's action with Switzerland v Spain and Belgium v Italy as well as Copa America tips...

"I suspect that Italy have now become the outright bet for the Euros at the prices, and are certainly the bet in Munich. Tight, but it should be an Azzurri night."

Switzerland v Spain: Iberians to edge enjoyable encounter

Switzerland v Spain
Friday July 2, 17:00
Live on ITV

Spain are 1.758/11 to win inside 90 minutes even though Switzerland knocked out pre-tournament jollies France in the round of 16. The Spanish have lost just one of their 22 meetings with Switzerland in all competitions (W16 D5), but that defeat did come at a major tournament - 2010 World Cup in South Africa.

Mark O'Haire says: "The Euro 2020 group-stage produced an eye-catching 2.62 goals per-game and the goals continued to flow in the last-16 with 2.88 goals on average across the six fixtures in regulation time. European Championship quarter-finals historically average 2.29 goals with only 33% breaking the Over 2.5 Goals barrier. A repeat is available at 1.9520/21.

"Collectively, seven of the duo's eight outings at Euro 2020 have produced a minimum of two goals with Both Teams To Score 2.001/1 banking on five occasions. With neither side looking particularly watertight thus far, goals could be on the agenda in this Saint Petersburg showdown.

"The best approach could be to support Spain to win and Over 1.5 Goals at an attractive 2.001/1 on the Sportsbook. We're effectively supporting Luis Enrique's side to succeed by any scoreline other than 1-0. Interestingly, 18 of the Iberians' 20 victories since the 2018 World Cup arrived alongside Over 1.5 Goals with just two 1-0 triumphs secured in three years."

Mark's bet: Back Spain to win and Over 1.5 Goals at 2.001/1

Belgium v Italy: Azzurri have momentum and fitness

Belgium v Italy
Friday, 20:00
Live on BBC One

This will be the fifth meeting between Belgium and Italy at a major tournament - all four previous meetings came in the group stages and Italy avoided defeat in all four matches, drawing one and winning three - including the Euro 2016 clash between the sides where they prevailed 2-0. Italy are 5.79/2 to win Euro 2020.

Dave Farrar says: "Belgium are going to have to rely on two of their Italy based players, Dries Mertens and of course Romelu Lukaku, and that adds to the storylines, piles on the intrigue.

"There's a danger for Belgium that the lack of a fully fit Kevin de Bruyne rather lessens the impact of Lukaku, and the Inter Milan striker is a known quantity to the Italian defenders. That's no guarantee that they will stop him, but they know how to. Again, take De Bruyne away, and you give Chiellini and Bonucci the chance to do what they need to against Lukaku.

Roberto Mancini - 1280.jpg

"I hate relying on team news for a tip, and dislike putting forward nebulous seeming reasons for swinging one way or another, but that is precisely what I am going to do here. Italy are priced the way that they are because Belgium are missing two superstars, one of whom happens to be (in my opinion) the best player in the world. That puts me firmly in the Azzurri corner, as does that sense (and this is the nebulous bit) that Italy will bite down on the gumshield when it's required.

"I can't see any mileage in the unders/overs and as a result won't pair those probabilities with the outright. It only muddies the waters. I suspect that Italy have now become the outright bet for the Euro at the prices, and are certainly the bet in Munich. Tight, but it should be an Azzurri night."

Dave's bet: Back Italy to beat Belgium @ 2.486/4

Euros Tactical View: Italy, England and Denmark to advance

Alex Keble has looked in-depth at the tactical battles of all four quarter-finals, and he expects entertainment from Spain v Switzerland followed by a win for Italy over a weakened Belgium.

Of today's opening match he says: "Switzerland's main tactic is to get their wing-backs into dangerous areas and cross for Haris Seferovic, which they did successfully against France on the counter-attack. However, as they pour forward down the flanks Spain will expect to subsequently find joy through midfield, where Enrique enacts his aggressive vertical football by instructing Koke and Pedri to peel wide to receive progressive passes from Sergio Busquets.

"That is not something Switzerland are good at coping with, having been hurt badly through central midfield against both Italy and France, conceding three times in both games. Their 3-4-1-2 is a little light on numbers in the middle and probably won't cope well with the pressure, creating a free-flowing start to the quarter-finals."

Back over 3.5 goals in Switzerland v Spain at 3.613/5

Like Dave, Alex sees tonight's late game going the way of Italy. He says: "Italy also have an advantage on the flanks. Throughout the tournament Belgium have looked vulnerable in spaces behind their advanced wing-backs, while Italy are increasingly dominant here. From the left, Leonardo Spinazzola is overlapping expertly and from the right Federico Chiesa surely deserves a start after his heroics against Austria. These two direct dribblers can get behind the wing-backs and secure the victory."

Back Italy to beat Belgium at 2.47/5

Peru v Paraguay: Cautiously back favourites to progress

Peru 3.211/5 v Paraguay 2.6813/8; The Draw 3.02/1
Friday 2 July, 22:00
Live on BBCi

If after the drama of two Euro 2020 quarter-finals you want to watch more international football then the Copa America has just what you're looking for - a last eight clash between Peru, who are unbeaten in three, and a Paraguay team that have caused problems for a few top teams so far.

Dan Fitch says: "Paraguay are the favourites at 2.6813/8, with the draw at 3.02/1 and a Peru win at 3.211/5.

"The recent form of Paraguay suggests that they will not lose. The loss of Almiron could be costly though, so the draw should not be discounted. Paraguay are available at 1.758/11 in the Draw No Bet market.

"Aside from their match against Bolivia, the other three matches played by Paraguay in this tournament, have seen less than three goals.

Under 2.5 goals is too short to recommend at 1.511/2, but when combined with a Paraguay win, the odds rise to a tempting 4.57/2. A 1-0 Paraguay win is 7.26/1, with 2-0 at 12.5."

Dan's bet: Back Paraguay draw no bet against Peru at 1.758/11

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Get the best bets for both Friday's games in the latest bitesized Daily Euros podcasts from the Football...Only Bettor team


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