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Euro 2020 Qualifiers Saturday Tips: Leaky Italians won't slip up against Greece

Italy manager Roberto Mancini.
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Italy have won all of their qualifiers, but have work to do defensively and Dan Fitch thinks Greece can score a consolation goal as he previews Saturday's Euro 2020 qualifiers.

"Italy may be winning regularly, but they have conceded in each of their last three games."

Back Italy to beat Greece and both teams to score at [4.1]

Finland can avoid a loss

Bosnia [2.22] v Finland [3.9]; The Draw [3.3]
Kick off 17:00
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Finland narrowly lost their last qualifying match to the Group J leaders Italy, but remain in second place.

With third placed Armenia likely to win, Finland can ill-afford to lose against Bosnia-Herzegovina. The good news is that the Bosnians have only won one of their last five matches (D1 L3), which makes the [1.78] on offer for Finland to avoid defeat in the Double Chance market, a pretty safe bet.

Goals a big price after six goal thriller

Denmark [2.32] v Switzerland [3.5]; The Draw [3.3]
Kick off 17:00
Live on Sky Sports Football

Group D is very tight. Second placed Denmark are only two points behind the leaders Republic of Ireland, with third placed Switzerland just a point away from the Danes with a game in hand.

These teams drew 3-3 in the reverse fixture, with Denmark staging a dramatic comeback after going three goals down. With that match in mind, both teams to score looks generously priced at [2.0].

Fast start for Romania

Faroe Islands [17.0] v Romania [1.25]; The Draw [6.4]
Kick off 17:00
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Realistically it's a three-way fight for second place in Group F behind Spain. With the Spanish facing fourth placed Norway, this is a possible opportunity for a Romanian side in third, to increase their advantage.

Faroe Islands have lost all six of their qualifiers and in five of them they were losing at half-time. Back Romania to win half-time/full-time at [1.83].

Italy could concede again

Italy [1.22] v Greece [19.0]; The Draw [7.0]
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Premier League

The 2-1 win by Italy away in Finland, looks to have assured their place in Euro 2020. Now six points clear at the top of Group J, they have won all six of their matches.

Italy may be winning regularly, but they have conceded in each of their last three games. A home victory and both teams to score is worth a punt at odds of [4.1].

Three points for Armenia

Liechtenstein [12.0] v Armenia [1.28]; The Draw [7.0]
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Armenia are one of the teams chasing the second place in Group J behind Italy. With Fourth placed Bosnia hosting Finland, this is the perfect opportunity for Armenia to press their claims for an automatic qualification spot.

Liechtenstein have only got one point and were behind at the break in all six of their games. Armenia are [1.8] to win half-time/full-time.

Quaison can continue scoring streak

Malta [36.0] v Sweden [1.1]; The Draw [12.5]
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Sweden are second in Group F and should cement their position with a win against Malta.

The Swedes have developed into a much more potent team than has been the case in recent years. Robin Quaison has been a big part of that change, with the Mainz forward scoring four goals in these six qualifiers, including the opener in the reverse fixture against Malta. Quaison is [2.1] to score.

Motivated Norway can score

Norway [7.4] v Spain [1.53]; The Draw [4.6]
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Football

Norway have not made home advantage count in this qualifying process, with Lars Lagerback's team having dropped two goal leads in their matches with both Sweden and Romania.

Defeat against Spain - who have won all six of their qualifiers - would likely end Norway's hopes of an automatic position. With plenty at stake, Norway will have a go and both teams to score should land at [2.1].

Dan Fitch 2019/20 Season P/L

Staked: 176.00 pts
Returned: 179.92 pts
P/L: +3.92 pts

Dan Fitch,

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