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League One Betting: Keep it simple with Sky Blues on Sunday

Coventry boss Mark Robins
Mark Robins' Coventry have won five of their home matches this season
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With two out of three in his last preview, Alan Dudman is hoping for more profit for this weekend's League One action, which includes Sunday's live Sky game...

"Coventry were described by Doncaster boss Darren Moore as the best team he had faced this season in their 1-1."

Back Coventry City to beat Tranmere Rovers @ [1.70]

Keep it simple with the Sky Blues on TV

Coventry City v Tranmere Rovers

Sunday, 12:00
Live on Sky Sports Football and Sky Sports Main Event

Coventry's 4-0 thumping at the hands of Rotherham last weekend was a reminder how topsy-turvy results can come from nowhere. Prior to that loss, the Sky Blues were unbeaten in League One. That was some way to lose their record.

As usual in this division, it's important not to dwell on a bad result, as a bettor especially, as form in the third tier often makes little sense. City boss Mark Robins described it as a "wake-up call", and I would like to think of it as a one-off.

Coventry have a good record playing at home this season with five wins and a draw - with three clean sheets and a 'goals against' column of just four.

That should prove to be too much for a Tranmere side that are struggling. They have only scored one goal on their travels, and according to Opta, they are the only League One club yet to score in the opening 30 minutes of a game this season.

With Tranmere holding an away record of LLLL, it's no surprise that Coventry's price is around [1.70]. There was a slightly bigger price floating around on Thursday, which was somewhat surprising.

And whilst it's hardly the most exciting bet in the world, it's important not to over complicate things. We can explore the Asian Handicap of course, and I prefer that to the HT/FT market, as you really need to get two bets right for that rather than the one - but with Tranmere's record of failing to score in the first 30 minutes, that is most certainly an option.

Coventry were described by Doncaster boss Darren Moore as the best team he had faced this season in their 1-1, which highlights the task ahead for the visitors. The hosts play good football and like to build up from the back, and they really should have enough to win this.

Dale's passing game to be thwarted by Stanley

Rochdale v Accrington Stanley

Accrington ruined the "clean sweep" of winning bets for the column last weekend with their surprising 2-2 draw with in-form Oxford - and they make another swift appearance for this Saturday.

The Draw looks an interesting play with two evenly-matched teams. In fact, both were exactly [2.68] to win on Thursday evening, so it really is a fence-sitter.

Both are towards the foot of the table in 17th and 18th, and these are the sort of games that neither dare lose considering the close proximity of their opponent. I think both managers would be happy to take a point.

Especially Dale boss Brian Barry-Murphy - whose team have failed to win at Spotland this term in five games. They aren't scoring many either.

Brian Barry-Murphy 1280 .jpg

Accy earned a superb 1-1 at Wycombe earlier in the season to defy their relative league positions at the time, and it was a display full of energy and verve. If they can produce that, they could have a chance against the hosts, who are susceptible to counter-attacking teams given their passing game.

The Correct Score players will be all over the 1-1 here, too. Rochdale have been involved in two of them, and Stanley two on their travels.

It could be that sort of game with an Under 2.5 possibility too. But we'll take the [3.65] on the Draw outright.

Swerve the Tangerines again as favourites

Blackpool v Rotherham United

We earned a winning bet with the Under 2.5 with Blackpool and Bolton on Monday night, and hopefully we can repeat the trick by opposing the Tangerines again.

They are favourites here at [2.56], but they are too inconsistent to be backed at that price. Indeed, they seem to be alternating between the WLD results, which is never a good idea if you are being asked to take the shorter price of the two teams.

Rotherham are an interesting bet. Clearly they are punching well below their weight in the division at the moment in 13th, but they have achieved some good results on the road this term, and that makes them a good betting proposition for the Draw No Bet at around even money.

Throw in for good measure the Opta Stat; as Blackpool are winless in their last eight against Rotherham (with the Millers keeping five clean sheets in that run).

Paul Warne's side have won twice on the road this term - which included a 0-1 victory against Burton. They also held Sunderland 1-1 at the Stadium Of Light, and they can start building some results following their brilliant win against Coventry.


Alan Dudman's P&L (inclusive ante-post, playoffs and regular season)

2019/20: -0.04
2018/19: +10.51
2017/18: +15.28

*All bets to a 0.5pt stake unless stated otherwise

Alan Dudman,

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