The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2018/19: Round 24
Joe extended his now healthy lead in the Battle last time out - can the other editors catch up? Here's where their midweek tenners are headed...
"Over 2.5 goals in this Wednesday night fixture is odds-against at [2.14] but eight of the ten games Ralph Hasenhuttl has managed Southampton have seen that total breached."
Saints to deliver another goalfest
Back Over 2.5 goals @ [2.14] in Southampton v Crystal Palace
I don't generally associate Southampton and Crystal Palace with goals but neither does the Betfair Exchange market and that looks to have created that holy grail of betting - 'value'.
Over 2.5 goals in this Wednesday night fixture is odds-against at [2.14] but eight of the ten games Ralph Hasenhuttl has managed Southampton have seen that total breached.
Palace are widely written off as a boring, functional unit under Roy Hodgson, more solid than anything, but results don't totally back up that opinion. Just looking at the last six Premier League fixtures shows us 11 goals scored, two games won, three lost and a solitary draw.
While unlikely to go down, neither team is safe from the drop by any means, and I think we can expect both to press for the win. And so I am in agreement with Andy Schooler in his Betfair preview - that gives the overs every chance of coming in.
Joe Dyer 2017-18 P/L: +£75.30
City and Aguero to enjoy their Newcastle trip
Back Man City -1/Aguero to Score (Same Game Multi) @ 2.17 v Newcastle
Live on BT Sport
Just a simple bit of logic tells you that Manchester City are by far the most likely winners in Tuesday night's televised Premier League clash, so the task is to find a decent price bet involving the away win.
Newcastle have been relatively poor at home this season and they lost again at the weekend at home to a Watford side that made 11 changes! That doesn't bode well for the Magpies who will face a Citizens side that has won their last six games in all competitions without conceding a single goal and by an aggregate scoreline of 28-0.
True, there's been some weak sides brushed aside by City in that period, but Newcastle are hardly world beaters and the past meetings between these two sides really spells danger for the home side. The last 16 league meetings have resulted in 15 Man City wins and a single draw, with City averaging almost three goals scored per game.
Sergio Aguero has scored 14 goals himself against Newcastle in just 12 games against them, and he's arguably better now than he has ever been. So the obvious bet for me is for Man City to cover the -1 goal and handicap with Aguero getting on the scoresheet.
Mike Norman 2017-18 P/L: +£9.70
A stalemate at the John Smith Stadium
Back the draw in Huddersfield v Everton @ [3.35]
Harry is away.
Harry Phillips 2017-18 P/L: -£44.80
Wolves to win again
Back Wolves to beat West Ham @ [2.14]
Jasmine is away.
Jasmine Baba 2017-18 P/L: -£84.05
Back Man Utd to beat Burnley, BTTS and Marcus Rashford to score at [5.18] (Same Game Multi)
I've not had much luck with some my more random bets here but with my P&L in such a state I might as well keep playing on the wilder side - even money winners aren't going to help me much now.
So, for this midweek selection, I'm jumping aboard the Same Game Multi bus and heading to Old Trafford, where Ole Gunnar Solskjaer is aiming for an extraordinary ninth win out of nine since taking charge.
I fully expect them to do so against a Burnley side who have lost six of their last eight away from home, but I'll take the Clarets to follow in the footsteps of Cardiff, Huddersfield, Bournemouth and Brighton who all netted in defeat against the Red Devils.
And the final leg of my treble is backing Marcus Rashford - who has scored in his last four Premier League outings - to net at anytime (this is a surprising 11/10 on its own).
Dan Thomas 2017-18 P/L: -£158.40
For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.
The Editors' 2018/19 P/L:
1. Joe Dyer +£75.30
2. Mike Norman +£9.70
3. Harry Phillips -£44.80
4. Jasmine Baba -£84.05
5. Dan Thomas -£158.40
Joe Dyer: Back Over 2.5 goals @ [2.14] in Southampton v Crystal Palace
Mike Norman: Back Man City -1/Aguero to Score @ 2.17 v Newcastle
Harry Phillips: Back the draw in Huddersfield v Everton @ [3.35]
Jasmine Baba: Back Wolves to beat West Ham @ [2.14]
Dan Thomas: Back Man Utd to beat Burnley, BTTS and Marcus Rashford to score at [5.18]