Hartlepool 2.35/4 v Exeter 3.55/2; the draw 3.613/5
Time to gamble - and that's not even directed at us punters! It is twist or twist time for Ronnie Moore, the Hartlepool manager, who is sweating on David Mirfin's return in defence.
Pools are winless in five but still ahead of the other two relegation candidates despite their defender's absence, after he got a whack on the toe in the draw with Accrington. Now Moore must decide whether to stuck with 3-5-2 or revert to 4-4-2 without him, as they did for the 3-0 disaster at Luton.
The defenders have been working overtime in training for Moore, who must also consider whether to bring back Jack Compton to give width to the side. He described the player as Marmite - you either love him or hate him - earlier in the season and he has been in and out of favour. Some fans say he is lazy, but with a mercurial spark.
Hartlepool certainly need every spark they can get after defeat left Moore in gallows humour mood last weekend.
The bottom three lost this week and they will probably all win next week, was the basis of his prognosis.
Now, there's a gamble which is highly unlikely to come off, Cheltenham are 5.14/1 to win at home to Shrewsbury and Tranmere are 5.24/1 to win at Plymouth, so the treble would return in excess of 50.049/1 - reflective of the chances of it happening.
As for Exeter, their chances of a play-off place hang by a thread. They not only have to win their last two games to stand a chance but rely on four teams above them failing to win - and they have suffered three straight defeats.
Paul Tisdale admits they have not been good enough and you can see why Hartlepool, despite not winning since climbing out of the bottom two, are favourites.
This won't be a pretty match, but Pools fans are already warming up with "Everything's going to be alright" as their last away game at Carlisle has been dubbed Bob Marley/Reggae Day. Fans traditionally dress up in fancy dress for the last away game of the season and their team will want to ensure they have a party and not the wake associated with relegation. The price has risen from 2.26/5 to 2.35/4 on a home win, increasing the value on a side desperate to win despite that two point cushion to the drop zone.
Recommended Bet
Back Hartlepool @ 2.35/4
Southend 1.84/5 v Luton 5.24/1; the draw 3.711/4
Seven straight clean sheets and six straight wins mean Southend have put real pressure on third-place Wycombe who have held a promotion place all season. Now it could come down to goal difference.
Phil Brown's men have won all those six 1-0 or 2-0 so it is worth considering the peripheral bet that they can win to nil - it is price 3.02/1 which seems somewhat surprising.
True enough, John Still's men have much to play for, as they could still pinch that last play-off place if Plymouth falter by failing to win at home to Tranmere.
There is a five-goal difference from Southend to Wycombe, who are on the same points. Does it look likely that the Shrimpers could make up that difference in two games?
No. The Chairboys would have to slip up against Morecambe, who have at least scored in the past eight games, or Northampton, who have Marc Richards back in the fold and, on 18 goals, second in the League Two scoring charts behind Portsmouth's Matt Tubbs (19).
Marc Cullen might want to add to his 13 goals for the Hatters this season as they strive for that last play-off place, but home keeper Daniel Bentley will have other ideas as he tries to extend his clean sheet record.
Luton's seven straight defeats in the spring really hit their promotion campaign, while Southend, the form team over six games, made huge progress and sit on the cusp of automatic promotion.
With the hosts odds-on, the value seems to back them to win to nil.
Recommended Bet
Back Southend to win to nil at 2.915/8
Oxford 2.111/10 v Cambridge 4.03/1; the draw 3.613/5
Things have gotten quite tricky in recent weeks, when the prices start to shorten on lots of teams who need to win - except Cheltenham and Tranmere perhaps who are 5.04/1 each.
Steer away from those "something riding on them" games and we find this non-Varsity encounter, into which Oxford come in great late-season form.
Form now will mean diddly squat come August, the time, presumably, when the U's really start the promised assault on promotion to the Championship, which is at least a two-year campaign of course.
When Chris Wilder left, he said the club had over achieved comparative to the mid-table budget they worked with, which is slightly hard to believe given they are one of the best supported teams in the division, given their home crowds.
Nevertheless, they proved before he left they could top the division and now have proved their intentions at least with a 3-0 win over a lacklustre Tranmere and, early this month, by winning at Wycombe.
Unbeaten in five - with two 0-0 draws - they perhaps have some convincing to do that they can really challenge for promotion next season, so Danny Rose and loanee Kemar Roofe, who have both scored in those wins, need to cajole others to do so, particularly main striker Danny Hylton. It is the bane of a League Two club's life that they cannot keep top strikers, a previous loanee Tyrone Barnett having been recalled by Peterborough and now finding himself at Shrewsbury.
Cambridge found that their FA Cup ties against Manchester United took the heat out of their league season, but have battled to points recently, Crystal Palace trainee Sullay Kaikai and Tom Elliott both scoring twice recently.
But if Mike Appleton is to realise Oxford's ambitions then he needs to advertise the fact with a victory here.
Recommended Bet
Back Oxford @ 2.111/10
York 2.68/5 v Newport 3.185/40; the draw 3.412/5
Another game with effectively nothing riding on it in terms of promotion or relegation brings value.
If you think I am being mean towards Newport, they have lost their last four matches and realistically to my mind have long since not looked like a team who could maintain a play-off push, especially after Justin Edinburgh left for Gillingham.
They appear to be going through their "Luton" phrase of continuing a losing run even when scoring twice, in this case at home to Dagenham. In the previous three games they didn't even score, nor in two of the three before then. However, they now have the Chris Zebroski assault case put to bed, with the winger being jailed for four years. A real waste of a tricky ball player, but he's not the first footballer to suffer alcohol problems.
York meanwhile have had a decent run to the extent they have lost once in seven, winning four of them to haul themselves clear of relegation danger.
That run was ended by Shrewsbury - no real surprise - but only 1-0. Russ Wilcox will demand another victory. Jake Hyde and others have futures to play for, as the manager says he still needs to be "swayed" by some players about whether he will award them new contracts.
All to play for at Bootham Crescent for the hosts then.
Recommended Bet
Back York @ 2.68/5