League One Betting: Black Cats could be in for a surprise against Luton

Kenilworth Road
Newly relegated Sunderland travel to Luton Town this weekend
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The big game in League One this weekend is Luton against Sunderland, and our third tier expert Alan Dudman is siding with the Hatters as one of his best bets for Saturday....

"Luton boss Nathan Jones said his side were by far the better team at Pompey, and that showed they are going to be very dangerous in this division."

Back Luton Town @ [2.70] to beat Sunderland

Posh overpriced for trip to Dale

Rochdale v Peterborough United

Both of these teams triumphed with 2-1 scorelines on the opening day of the season. Peterborough and their host of new signings were successful against Bristol Rovers, whilst Rochdale beat relegated Burton at the Pirelli.

Dale flew out of the blocks with a couple of early goals from Brad Inman, but they were quite fortuitous to hold on to the three points as they withstood plenty of pressure from their opponents. Brewers' boss Nigel Clough probably felt hard done by in the game.

A similar tale for the Posh developed at the ABAX. Peterborough were the better side in the first 45 but sat far too deep and invited pressure against the Gas - who are not exactly known for their goalscoring prowess.

With the good and bad points from both; we get to the market - and surely the hosts are too short. Which makes Posh way overpriced.

The pleasing aspect from Steve Evans' men last weekend was the fact they looked fairly sound defensively and the full-backs pushed on to provide the crosses for the goals.

Evans has added Ivan Toney from Newcastle for a hefty old fee of £650,000 - not many have that kind of spending power in the third tier, and he looks to be the sort of signing the Scot has been after this summer - quick and attacking.

The BTTS bet is probably worth looking at with a price of around [1.90], but I do like having two running for you, which is why we can explore the Draw No Bet option.

Saddlers to struggle away from home again

Scunthorpe United v Walsall

For the past two seasons Walsall have been notoriously bad travellers. With just four victories last year on the road, that was at least one better than the previous season. And whilst past performances don't mean an awful lot for a different set of circumstances and players, it's fairly hard for me to side with the visitors for this weekend.

Walsall boss Dean Keates wants to play on the front foot and be aggressive, but Scunthorpe are a side proven in this division who should be on the cusp of the playoffs again.

The Iron got off to a winning start last weekend with (another) 2-1 victory at Coventry. Manager Nick Daws fielded six new summer signings in what looked quite a young team. It was a bit of a coup in signing Cameron Borthwick-Jackson - who delivered a classy debut last Saturday. He looked a youngster going places when handed a chance at Manchester United under Louis Van Gaal.

Subsequent loans at Wolves and Leeds failed to work out, so this is time for him to play.

Scunthorpe lost Duane Holmes to Derby in the transfer window this week, but they have signed 23-year-old Ryan Colclough. Considering he netted six in 35 for promoted Wigan last term, that looks a good deal for United.

Daws' team are a threat from set-pieces and produced a good second-half display when beating Coventry. The [1.91] is more than fair, as I would be surprised if the hosts didn't get on the scoresheet.

Hatters can claim scalp in big match of the day

Luton Town v Sunderland

Anyone who backed Luton Town last weekend will probably still be feeling a bit unlucky. They lost 1-0 at Portsmouth but fully deserved the win, in that there is no doubt. Pompey boss Kenny Jackett admitted as much, but it was an excellent start for the Hatters despite the loss.

And talking of starts....

Sunderland heralded a new era last Saturday and the end of an old one according to the local press. A nervy-at-times 2-1 victory against Charlton was much-needed for a club that have really been through the mill in recent seasons.

Black Cats' boss Jack Ross switched to a 3-5-2 in the second-half and his team looked more comfortable, but Sunderland looked a young side and they made a few mistakes. Backing Sunderland for the title means you get [3.80] in the Winner Market. Backing for just this one game at [2.80] tells us they are way too short for the former.

I am going to stick with Luton here. It was a real barnstorming performance against Pompey - who are a very tough nut to crack at Fratton Park. That was played in front of 19,000, and Saturday's atmosphere with the travelling fans is sure to be one of the best this weekend.

Luton boss Nathan Jones said his side were by far the better team at Pompey, and that showed they are going to be very dangerous in this division.


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Alan Dudman's P&L, 2018/19

League One: -0.49
League One regular season 2017/18: +18.48

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