League One Betting: Sign off from Kingsmeadow with the draw

Neal Ardley's Wimbledon are struggling for goals at the moment
Neal Ardley's Wimbledon are struggling for goals at the moment

The final games in League One take place this Sunday at midday, and Alan Dudman is hoping to end the season in profit with his final selections...


"I am more interested in a low-scoring affair here, as Wimbledon have failed to score a single goal in their last five. Oldham's improved form really has come on home soil, and their recent away form of one victory in seven tempers the enthusiasm to back the visitors here at 3.6013/5."

Back The Draw Wimbledon v Oldham @ 3.45

AFC Wimbledon 2.265/4 v Oldham Athletic 3.6013/5, the draw 3.45

Sunday 12:00

Wimbledon's form has tapered off quite rapidly, and the fact they are struggling for both results and goals at the moment makes them a "no bet" for the final match of the season. I wouldn't be in a rush to lay the 2.265/4 on offer either, as the one worry I have is that this will be their final game of the season at Kingsmeadow and there might be something of a party atmosphere.

Dons' boss Neal Ardley hasn't had much to party about recently, though. He criticised his team following a 3-0 defeat against Bradford last weekend, and Ardley touched on the malaise that has been growing for almost three months. He said that the last few games haven't been good enough.

Meanwhile, John Sheridan's Oldham pulled off the Houdini-like escape from relegation last weekend - tremendous given the Latics were bottom in January when "Shez" took over. It has been some feat to steer them to safety with 52 points, and only two points separate this duo. That looked unlikely a few months ago.

Oldham's overall form is good; with just two defeats in their last nine. Their latest 1-1 against Rochdale wasn't a great game, and by all accounts the first half was Oldham's worst of the season - but they have been staying in matches.

I am more interested in a low-scoring affair here, as Wimbledon have failed to score a single goal in their last five. Oldham's improved form really has come on home soil, and their recent away record of one victory in seven tempers the enthusiasm to back the visitors here at 3.6013/5.

Sheridan's men don't score many on the road either, and have failed to find the net away from home in five of of their seven recent matches.

Considering Wimbledon have drawn ten times since the turn of the year, and have three 0-0s in their last eight, the play here could be to back and trade the 0-0 Correct Score, whilst almost certainly backing the draw outright.

OPTA STATS: AFC Wimbledon have failed to score in seven of their last eight League One games, taking their total of goalless matches to 17 this season - only Chesterfield (18), Coventry (18) and opponents Oldham (24) have failed to score in more matches this term. The Latics - now mathematically safe in the division, have scored just 12 away league goals this campaign.

Recommended Bets
Back The Draw 0.5pt @ 3.45
Back Under 2.5 Goals 0.5pt @ 1.804/5


Rochdale 2.226/5 v Bradford City 3.259/4, the draw 3.55

Sunday 12:00

Considering the relatively tight budget of Keith Hill at Rochdale, it's fairly remarkable that the men from Spotland are still in with a chance of making the playoffs.

It's an outside shot granted, they need to beat Bradford on Sunday, whilst Southend and Millwall will have to lose. But they have a shot nonetheless. Bradford have already sealed their playoff spot, and the potential for Stuart McCall to rest players is factored into the price.

In truth, I haven't had much luck with Rochdale this term. They are the league's highest scorers on home soil with 47 goals at Spotland, and the third-highest scorers overall in the division. I seemed to have backed them every time they have drawn a blank.

They are direct, play to their strengths and get forward quickly. This style has yielded plenty of goals recently - and they have scored in every match of their previous seven at home - including three 3-3 scorelines.

Hill said of this weekend "it is in the lap of the football gods", but I would be happy with the Both Teams To Score gods to smile here, and a price of around 1.855/6 means you have always got a chance with the Dale.

Bradford's odds are somewhat tempting, but their away from isn't nearly as strong as their home form (where they haven't lost a game at Valley Parade). So with the need for Dale to win, I can just about go with the price of 2.226/5 as they haven't lost a match at Spotland since January.

OPTA STATS: Rochdale have won 13 home league matches this season - if they beat Bradford, it would be their best tally of home wins in the third tier since 1957/58 (14 wins). Only champions Sheffield United (28) have won more points in their last 10 League One matches than Bradford City.

Recommended Bet
Back Rochdale 0.5pt to win @ 2.226/5


Oxford United 1.8810/11 v Shrewsbury Town 4.2016/5, the draw 3.45

Sunday 12:00

Shrewsbury done the column a big favour last weekend with a massive 1-0 victory against playoff chasers Southend. The three points all but guaranteed League One survival for Paul Hurst's team, and the match was played out in front of a bumper Greenhous Meadow crowd of nearly 7,500. The effort to gain those points might take their toll, so it's a reason to leave them alone for the final game.

Also the away form of Salop doesn't quite match their home record. In their last eight games at the Meadow, they picked up 14 points and four wins (which for a club fighting relegation is not bad). I wanted to back them last weekend for that very reason, whereas their away record in their previous eight reads a mere six points and just one victory.

However, Hurst must be praised for the job he has done. He has won 11 games of the 30 since he took charge. They were going nowhere until he landed.

Oxford meanwhile haven't always been the easiest team to predict - and their home record backs that up. They have won ten, but also lost eight, but when they get it right they are match for anyone.

They were excellent in winning 3-0 at The Den last weekend. They coped with Millwall's overly-direct approach well, and two goals from Everton loanee Conor McAley took his tally to ten in 14 games since he joined in January. Goals certainly haven't been the problem at home for Oxford recently with scorelines such as 1-3, 2-4, and a 5-1.

Oxford do not have anything to play for, so there is no pressure. A yield of 66 points and missing out on the playoffs by four represents a good season for a promoted team. They should be able to score here, as Shrewsbury have kept a clean sheet away from home only once in eight matches. With Oxford scoring thanks to McAley, they are worth ago despite the price.

OPTA STATS: The last three league meetings between these sides have all ended 2-0 to Shrewsbury. The Shrews have never won four consecutive Football League games against the Us, last winning three in the first three meetings between 2005 and 2006. The visitors have scored exactly once in 13 of their last 15 away league games, failing to score in the other two.

Recommended Bet
Back Oxford United to win 0.5pt @ 1.8810/11


Alan Dudman's P&L 2016/17

League One: -1.52pts
FA Cup: +8.05pts


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