With automatic promotion places up for grabs, the key game in League One this weekend is Fleetwood Town against Bolton Wanderers - and our third tier man Alan Dudman is sticking with Uwe Rosler's side once again...
"Their record at the back is impressive - only Sheffield United and Millwall have conceded fewer goals, and if you are looking to play in the Clean Sheet market, Uwe Rosler's team have collected ten in their last 14 matches."
Bristol Rovers 2.427/5 v Southend United 3.1085/40, the draw 3.45
I like to have a scan of all the games on the fixture list to get a feel for an outcome before deciding which matches are picked, and my first impression for this was to back the draw. The Opta stats make me lean this way too; as the last four league meetings between the two have ended in stalemates.
Indeed, Rovers have shown a liking recently for picking up draws, and considering I have been hollering about Bradford's penchant for such, I feel I am a bit late to the party with the Pirates. In February, all six of their games ended in draws - a nice tidy profit for those backing at 5/2 or thereabouts every time. Even better for those that got involved in correct scores - as four were 1-1, and two finished 0-0.
Whether you want to back a team at home with a 2.427/5 asking price is another matter. Saturday's 0-2 win at Oxford was their first away victory in five months, and also their first success in seven matches.
This match is 7th against 9th, and only three points separate the two. Shrimpers' boss Phil Brown has described this as the most important week of the season, and they need to fire again after a slightly below-par performance against Port Vale last weekend.
Brown mentioned too many of the top players had 'off days', but they do score away from home. Peterborough were beaten by Southend 1-4 last month, and the Essex team also turned over Oxford.
I wouldn't put you off backing the visitors Draw No Bet, but I prefer going with the draw here. It could be low-scoring too, as Clarke seems to have shifted from the goal-happy side earlier in the season to an Under 2.5 team - as all seven of their recent matches have ended that way.
Back the draw 0.5pt @ 3.45
Gillingham 3.55 v Scunthorpe United 2.186/5. the draw 3.6013/5
There are a couple of puzzling teams in League One at the moment. Rochdale are one, and they seem to have dropped out of the playoff race. The other is Scunthorpe - who were the leaders, but they are eight without a victory and have slipped out of the automatic places.
The Iron were beaten again (three in succession now) on Tuesday, and lost to a mediocre Charlton team at the Valley, They struggled to create anything worthwhile, and they again showed their problem of starting games slowly.
Scunthorpe beat Gillingham 5-0 in the reverse fixture this term, but Graham Alexander's team just cannot find their form. It's a pretty risky price to be honest at 2.186/5 considering their run of LLLDDDLL.
Gillingham are hardly the great Ajax team of the 70s, and according to Opta stats; they haven't kept a clean sheet in any of their last five home matches against Scunthorpe since a 0-0 draw back in 1996.
The 'goals against' column has been problematic all season for the Kent club - with just two clean sheets this 2016/17. However, the stats on the Both Teams To Score market are impressive. All ten of Gillingham's recent games have hit the target, whilst seven of the ten have been Over 2.5 Goals. The Gills have now scored 15 in ten, so they could be worth a goal on Saturday.
If you are looking at first goalscorer markets or to score anytime, Scunthorpe's Kevin van Veen's last five goals have been scored away from home.
With the need for Scunthorpe to pick up points, I can't really see them going to Priestfield looking for a dull draw - they need the points to keep tabs with Fleetwood and Sheffield United, so I'll be looking to the BTTS market and for Gillingham to deliver again.
Back 'Yes' Both Teams To Score 0.5pt @ 1.804/5
Fleetwood Town 2.3811/8 v Bolton Wanderers 3.3512/5, the draw 3.4012/5
If Fleetwood avoid defeat in this match, they will set the longest unbeaten run of any team in the top four tiers this season (currently 18 games W12 D6). And we can still back the side in 2nd at 2.3811/8.
In fact, there's a been a shift here in the table, and Fleetwood are now in pole position following this brilliant run. The Cod Army are 14.50 in the League One winner market, as Sheffield United are an unbackable 1.081/12. Bolton meanwhile have drifted out to 24.023/1.
Town showed their class on Saturday when producing one of their best displays of the season, and they easily beat Scunthorpe 2-0 at Glanford Park. Those away matches really suit with their counter-attacking style, and they had some fine moments in the game with their usual defensive solidity. Their record at the back is impressive - only Sheffield United and Millwall have conceded fewer goals, and if you are looking to play in the Clean Sheet market, Uwe Rosler's team have collected ten in their last 14 matches - conceding just four goals in that sequence.
Bolton won the reverse fixture 2-1 at the Macron in August, and this will be the first competitive meeting between the two teams at Highbury. Five years ago Bolton were in the Premier League and Fleetwood were in the Conference.
Wanderers are struggling for creativity at the moment, and fans are probably ruing the January departures of Zach Clough and Sammy Ameobi. I know I am, as Clough was my bet for League One's top goalscorer.
The Trotters are drawing too many games, and considering Fleetwood have only lost once at home all season, there's no reason not to go in again with the Draw No Bet for Saturday.
Back Fleetwood Town Draw No Bet 0.5pt @ 1.804/5
*You can read more League One tips as well as Ian Lamont's thoughts on the week's League Two action by visiting our dedicated English Football League section here on Betting.Betfair.
Alan Dudman's P&L 2016/17
League One: +1.32
FA Cup: +8.05