League One Betting: Back Jackett's Wolves to succeed at Brisbane Road

A win on Monday should make Kenny Jackett smile
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Wolves only need four points to clinch the League One title, and they can move a step closer at Brisbane Road this Easter Monday according to Alan Dudman, who thinks Kenny Jackett's side should win in front of the Sky cameras...

"Orient are suffering a bad dip in form, and backing them at 3.6013/5 just cannot be advised. With one win from their last seven, Slade needs to manage the thin squad in order for them to be fresh for the end of season matches and a tilt at Wembley."

Back Wolves to win @ 2.226/5

Leyton Orient 3.6013/5 v Wolverhampton Wanderers 2.206/5, the draw 3.55

12:15, Live on Sky Sports 1 

Two months ago, this Sky TV encounter could have been mentioned as a potential 'title decider', but how things have changed. Wolves stand proud on 96 points and need just four more to clinch the title - with automatic promotion already sealed, and the Londoners now looking at the play-offs. 

Long time leaders Orient have just run of steam unfortunately. They have already been matched in the promotion market at odds-on, but have now drifted to 3.65, and their manager Russell Slade has insisted 'they must embrace the play-offs'. 

The hosts are suffering a bad dip in form, and backing them at 3.6013/5 just cannot be advised. With one win from their last seven, Slade needs to manage the thin squad in order for them to be fresh for the end of season matches and a tilt at Wembley. Their automatic hopes were finally killed off on good Friday following a 2-1 defeat at Crawley, a match in which they looked tired and lacklustre. 

The fact that Wolves smashed six past Rotherham two days ago in a crazy 6-4 encounter will alert all the over 2.5 goals backers. A word of caution would be that the 'Old Gold' were under 2.5 in the four games prior to that, as they do have an excellent defence. 

Wanderers clinched promotion at Crewe recently with a thoroughly professional performance, noted for a club record 24th clean sheet of the season. Wolves have the best attack in League One (82 goals) and the best defence (conceded 29), so we just have to hope they are not in celebration mode yet. 

With this being on TV, the first goalscorer market is available. Wolves striker Nouha Dicko bagged a hat-trick on Friday, and his goal collection now reads 11 from his last 16 matches. He trades at 5.609/2 at the head of the odds. Remember, Wolves do create chances and manager Kenny Jackett stresses that side do have plenty of shots on goal. Midfielder Kevin Macdonald is in scoring form too, he is available to back at 13.50. 

Orient's goals this season have come from David Mooney, a player I don't particularly rate. The Irishman netted against Gillingham to become the first O's forward to hit 20 since Carl Griffiths in 1997/8. I was lucky enough to interview Griffiths during his Brisbane Road days, and Mooney isn't a patch on Griff. 

Wolves look a fairly decent price on the outright, which puts me off the Asian Handicap -0.5 odds at 1.8810/11. However, I would be interested in laying Orient on that market with a +0.5 start 2.021/1. The Londoners have only beaten Gillingham in the last four encounters at home, whilst Wolves have won six of their last seven. 

Recommended Bet
Back Wolves to win @ 2.226/5


Crewe Alexandra 2.166/5 v Colchester United 3.65, the draw 3.6013/5

The Alex done me a favour on Friday for this column with an excellent 3-1 victory at Shrewsbury. They were really convincing and were full value for the three points. That was a 'must win' game for both sides, so it was rather pleasing to see Crewe handle the pressure of a 'six-pointer' superbly. They played their football and looked very composed, and for the 90 minutes they were positive and attacking. 

The hosts are not out of the relegation mire yet though, sitting just two points off the drop zone. They are still 2.8615/8 to go down, but they seem in a better frame of mind at the moment than other sides around them - notably Monday's opponents. 

Colchester are suffering an alarming dip of results. The 2-3 win at Stevenage was a bright spot last week, but that was their sole success from their last seven matches and manager Joe Dunne looked a dejected man on Good Friday. The U's wouldn't have given him any positives from their latest 1-0 loss at home to Oldham, in what was a horrible match from start to finish. 

Worryingly for the Essex side, they still have to face Brentford and Walsall, so this really is a game they cannot lose. Dunne changed his midfield slightly in the second-half at Stevenage last weekend, and they need to be just as positive here. However, they have a habit of conceding goals just before the break, and I am not sure about their current mentality, and would much rather back the hosts. 

The Alex overall are three wins from their last seven, but those victories have all come on their travels. Their home form is not so good, having lost their last three. 

Crewe boss Steve Davis can use an 'attacking four', and utilised the pacey Brad Inman in a 'number 10' role during the Shrewsbury victory. Davis brought in Mathias Pogba for the suspended Chuks Aneke, and it seemed to work with him down the left-hand side, and he netted on Friday against the hapless Shrews. 

The overs 2.5 goals excite me too here, as I can trust the home team to score. Six of their last nine games have hit the over target, and more importantly have found the net in eight of their last nine encounters - Crewe's only blank during that run was against the league leaders Wolves. 

Recommended Bets
Back Crewe to win @ 2.166/5
Back over 2.5 goals @ 1.9010/11


Tranmere Rovers 3.309/4 v Sheffield United 2.3611/8, the draw 3.4012/5 

This time last week I was predicting Sheffield United's defence to hold out Premier League Hull City in the FA Cup semi-final, having got that hopelessly wrong, I am aiming to get the money (and street cred) back this coming Monday. 

The Blades were successful in their Easter clash against Stevenage on Friday with a typical 1-0 grinding victory. A win that still leaves them with an outside chance of making the play-offs, as they have a game in hand over Peterborough. So if you are taking the odds on United, you know that they still have something to play for - unlike other teams. 

Sheffield United boss Nigel Clough's work with the defence is nothing short of outstanding. They mostly play on the counter-attack, which means they can soak up pressure easily. They have conceded just four times from their last 11 matches, and have a habit of 1-0 games, winning nine with that scoreline since November. 

Clough will need to make changes on Monday as (Whispering) Bob Harris is unlikely to feature, and Stefan Scougall could be doubtful too, but the manager has stated they need to win all four of their remaining games to gain an unlikely final play-off spot. And I thought that was a great reaction to beat Stevenage a couple of days ago - so soon after their Wembley defeat against Hull. 

Tranmere are looking nervously over their shoulder, as they sit two points above the drop zone. Their lack of concentration was apparent recently in the 2-0 defeat at Gillingham, a game where they perhaps deserved more, but they just switch off at crucial points. It was a tight game and quite a physical one, but they came up short in the latter department. 

The problem for Rovers seems to be that too many players are under-performing. Yes, you can carry one or two, but when seven or eight are not hitting their straps you have a problem; especially if you are fighting for your League One survival. Caretaker boss John McMahon took a chance in playing Jason Koumas and top scorer Ryan Lowe on Friday, and neither appeared fully fit. Koumas is a class act and can pull the strings in midfield, but the lack of quality around him is glaring, as his quality passes just go astray as lesser players are not on his wavelength. 

The hosts will line up a 4-4-2, but I am very confident that Sheffield United will be able to keep them out for 90 minutes, even though four of Tranmere's last five games have been over 2.5 goals. 

Recommended Bets
Back Sheffield United to win @ 2.3611/8
Back under 2.5 goals @ 1.9010/11

League One 2013/14 P/L (all selections one point)

-6.68 pts

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