Dan Fitch is expecting Manchester United to progress in their cup tie against Swansea, but doesn't think it will be as easy as last time...
"United romped home with a 4-0 victory when these sides met earlier this season, but their squad has been robbed of many of their best players through injury since then."
Swansea 8.07/1 v Manchester United 1.548/15; The Draw 4.47/2
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Home woes for Swansea
Swansea's poor home form continued at the weekend, as they lost 2-1 to Leicester.
Only goal difference is keeping Swansea out of the relegation zone and unless they can start winning points at home, it won't be long before they are sucked back into the bottom three.
Swansea changed managers twice last season in an effort to escape relegation, with Paul Clement eventually steering the club free from trouble. It's not hard to imagine Swansea once again making the decision to sack their manager, but the truth is that the squad is very short of quality, especially in attacking positions. Swansea are managing to win points on the road by defending in numbers, but are not equipped to control games at home.
Wilfried Bony was the club's major summer signing and is a player that at his best, would give Swansea a cutting edge. The striker is a doubt for this midweek cup tie having been out with a hamstring injury, while Kyle Bartley is unavailable with a knee problem.
Are United's squad players up to the job?
Manchester United also suffered defeat at the weekend, which saw them lose ground to the Premier League leaders Manchester City.
Huddersfield pulled off a shock 2-1 win, leading Jose Mourinho to question the attitude of his players and the media to question whether United have enough depth to compete in the title race.
Mourinho has only made seven signings since taking charge of the club in 2015 and as a result there are too many squad players, who are not up to the task when given an opportunity. It's hard to imagine United's title rivals giving many minutes to the likes of Jesse Lingard, Chris Smalling or Ashley Young, which tells it's own story.
A turning point in the defeat to Huddersfield came when Phil Jones went off injured and was replaced by the disappointing Victor Lindelof. Jones is a doubt for the trip to Swansea and could join Eric Bailly, Michael Carrick, Marouane Fellaini, Zlatan Ibrahimovic, Paul Pogba and Marcos Rojo on the sidelines.
Narrow victory for United
Manchester United are the heavy favourites at 1.548/15, with the draw at 4.47/2 and Swansea at 8.07/1.
United romped home with a 4-0 victory when these sides met earlier this season, but their squad has been robbed of many of their best players through injury since then. Mourinho takes the League Cup much more seriously than many other managers, but will have one eye on the crucial weekend Premier League match against Spurs.
With that in mind, it's likely that this will be a tighter game than the early season thrashing. The draw half-time/Manchester United full-time double result is a possibility at 4.57/2, as is Manchester United to win by one goal in the winning margin market, at 3.55/2.
Uncertainty in goals markets
Under 2.5 goals is the favourite at 1.9420/21, with overs at 1.9620/21.
This is perhaps a market best avoided, considering that both teams are struggling to score goals, yet were involved in matches that broke the 2.5 goals barrier at the weekend.
Rashford value to find the net
Romelu Lukaku is the favourite to score at 1.845/6 but there is a risk that he will be rested by Mourinho, ahead of the big match with Tottenham.
That could thrust Marcus Rashford onto centre stage. The England international played on the flank in the defeat to Huddersfield and scored United's goal. Back him to add to his tally at 2.89/5.
Back the draw half-time/Manchester United full-time at 4.57/2
Back Manchester United to win by one goal at 3.55/2
Back Rashford to score at 2.89/5
Dan Fitch 2017/18 Season P/L
Staked: 45 pts
Returned: 41.09 pts
P/L: -3.91 pts