Liverpool v Tottenham Hotspur
Tuesday October 25
Live on Sky Sports
The Reds' resurgence goes on under Jurgen Klopp with the Anfield side coming into this fixture on a nine game unbeaten run. Only a late West Brom goal on Saturday evening stopped them from touching the Premier League summit and the mood is buoyant in Merseyside.
Liverpool boast the Premier League's most potent midfield with Philippe Coutinho, James Milner, Sadio Mane, Adam Lallana and Roberto Firmino responsible for 18 goals so far this season.
Without European football in the schedule Klopp has played much of that group in the EFL Cup fixtures so we can expect a strong lineup from the home team.
Three weeks ago Tottenham inflicted a first defeat of the season on title favourites Manchester City and were again being talked of as genuine title hopefuls. Much of the momentum gained from that result has dissipated, however, following a run of three draws across Champions and Premier League with just one goal scored.
That run does not look like being stopped in this fixture - manager Mauricio Pochettino likes to rotate the team for cup fixtures and a largely second string Spurs team looks likely. Expect key performers such as Dele Alli, Jan Vertonghen and Hugo Lloris to sit this one out.
This is a battle between two of the best sides in the country but the match odds do not reflect that - Liverpool are a decent shade of odds-on at [1.64] with Spurs way out at [6.0]. Punters clearly expect a strong home side to see off Tottenham's weakened lineup.
Are they right to do so? On balance, yes, but we try to avoid tipping at such odds and we can definitely find more attractive prices than that.
It's worth noting that all three games between Klopp's Liverpool and Pochettino's Tottenham have finished in draws, and none have gone over 2.5 goals. This may be the game that ends the sequence, however.
Under Klopp's stewardship Liverpool have been notable for the amount of goals their games feature, and their nine league games so far have yielded an astonishing 31 goals. That barnstorming form has continued in the EFL Cup, too, with eight scored in defeats of Burton and Derby.
Tottenham's second string put five past Gillingham in their only EFL Cup outing, and with the home team barely able to keep a clean sheet this season (just one in the Premier League) the feeling is that this could be an entertaining affair.
Given the strong trends pointing to a home win and over 2.5 goals, common sense leads us to this bet where odds of 13/10 can be had on the Betfair Sportsbook. Bigger returns can be found if you're prepared to incorporate both teams to score into the bet - a home win and BTTS is 9/4.
Back a Liverpool win/Both Team to Score double @ 9/4