The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2019/20: Round Four

Frank Lampard - Chelsea manager
Joe is expecting Frank Lampard's Chelsea to beat Sheff Utd in an entertaining game

The editors landed four from five last week - and were just one goal away from a clean sweep - so can they go one better? Here's where their editors are headed for round four of the Battle...

"Palace have shown very little form of note at Selhurst Park for over a year now, and against a confident Villa side who have their tails up I think the away price of 3.65 is extremely generous."

Pukki to push West Ham

Jasmine Baba
Back Norwich/Draw Double Chance & Teemu Pukki to score anytime @ 3.53 (Same Game Multi)
Saturday, 15:00

Norwich are a breath of fresh air in the Premier League. I've not seen a newly promoted team play entertaining football and it actually work for them since Wolves came up, which isn't actually that far back in history but you get my point.

The Canaries haven't had the easiest opening three games in history, having to go away to Liverpool and face Chelsea at home, but they nearly came away with a point against the latter, and also played well at Anfield. Obviously their 3-1 win against Newcastle has been their highlight so far, and while I'm not sure they can win at the London Stadium, I do think in-form striker Teemu Pukki can grab a goal and help the visitors get a result. He's scored in each of Norwich's league games, netting five out of the six goals for his team and has created 36% of their shots.

I'm not entirely convinced by West Ham so far, and while they have a good record over their opponents here, they don't like to win at home in August- they've only won one of their last eight. That and they drew here against Brighton, got battered by Man City and I think Norwich will push them close too, that's why I'm doubling up the Norwich/Draw double chance and Teemu Pukki to score at 3.53 with the Same Game Multi feature on the Betfair Sportsbook.

Jasmine Baba 2019-20 P/L: +£10.10

Blues to cut down the Blades

Joe Dyer
Back Chelsea to beat Sheff Utd and both teams to score at evens
Saturday, 15:00

After a tough opening run that featured three games all against teams in last season's Premier League top 10, Chelsea finally enjoyed themselves last weekend when up against 'easier' opponents, beating Norwich 3-2.

They now have a great chance to add to that opening win when Sheffield United visit Stamford Bridge on Saturday afternoon. I fancy them to do it.

The only problem is that so does everyone else by the looks of it! The home win is just a 1.42/5 shot on the Exchange, but a simple way of backing Frank Lampard's side at evens or better is to roll up the home win with over 2.5 goals, on the Sportsbook.

Chelsea's defence is clearly a work in progress and United have hope of getting one of their own, but there are plenty of goal threats at the other end of the pitch and that should be enough to make the difference.

Joe Dyer's 2019-20 P/L: -£1.40

Plenty of goals at St Mary's

Dan Thomas
Back Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 Goals in Southampton v Man Utd at 2.1411/10 (Same Game Multi)
Saturday, 12:30
Live on BT Sport 1

You can see why BT Sport chose this one for live coverage - it tends to be a cracker. In last season's two encounters, there was a 3-2 win for United and 2-2 here at St Mary's, and something similar is surely on the cards on Saturday.

The visitors have kept just one clean sheet in their last 14 league games, while Southampton have found the net at least once in their last 15 Premier League home games, so both teams to score looks a certainty.

With BTTS priced at just 1.768/11, I'll boost it into odds-against territory by using Same Game Multi on the Sportsbook to add Over 2.5 Goals. United will be desperate to bounce back from that shock defeat to Palace last time out, and that will leave gaps for Southampton's pacy attack to hit them on the counter.

Dan Thomas 2019-20 P/L: -£2.80

Back down to earth for the Eagles

Mike Norman
Back Aston Villa @ 3.65 to beat Crystal Palace
Saturday, 15:00

The three clubs that had similar or worse home records to Crystal Palace last season were Cardiff, Fulham and Huddersfield. All three of those clubs were relegated so it's safe to say that the Eagles' performances in front on their own fans was akin to relegation form. Roy Hodgson's men were also among the league's lowest scored on home soil last term.

So it doesn't bode well that Palace have played twice at Selhurst Park this season, and they've failed to score each time. A goalless draw with Everton on the opening weekend of the season will be seen in time as a good result no doubt, but Palace registered just two shots on target that day and in midweek they suffered an embarrassing EFL cup exit at home to League Two side Colchester.

Newly-promoted Villa are the visitors on Saturday so Hodgson's men won't be able to sit back and defend like they did at Old Trafford last week. They'll be expected to take the initiative and as we witnessed last season, this Eagles team - arguably weaker than they were last term - aren't very good at winning matches on home soil.

Villa have a lot of new faces but they have performed well in all three of their Premier League games this term and will have taken lots of confidence from last week's deserved 2-0 win over Everton. Dean Smith's men then scored six on the road in the EFL Cup in midweek.

I feel too much weight is given to 'home advantage' in Match Odds sometimes and this for me is a perfect example. Palace have shown very little form of note at Selhurst Park for over a year now, and against a confident Villa side who have their tails up I think the away price of 3.65 is extremely generous.

Mike Norman 2019-20 P/L: -£6.80

Another Liverpool win with no clean sheet

Jake Osgathorpe
Back Liverpool to win and BTTS vs Burnley @ 2.8815/8
Saturday, 17:30

I'm turning my attentions to the late Saturday game, with Burnley taking on Liverpool, and I'm expecting another entertaining Liverpool game.

Burnley have made a very impressive start to the new season, and while they were flattered by a 3-0 win over Southampton, they were extremely unfortunate to lose at Arsenal (xG: ARS 1.01 - 1.92 BUR), and were seconds away from three points at Wolves last weekend, before conceding a late goal via a penalty.

The key theme to take from this is that, Burnley are actually a good attacking team, creating plenty of good chances in matches, with Ashley Barnes being the main beneficiary at the start of this season.

Liverpool made light work of Arsenal last weekend to maintain their 100% record at the start of the season, with Mohamed Salah in scintillating form yet again, and you can be sure that he, Roberto Firmino and Sadio Mane will terrorize Burnley's defence here.

Defensive issues remain though, with the Reds having conceded an average of 1.57 xGA per game in three matches, and they don't look as solid as last season, so could be troubled by Burnley's direct approach.

Liverpool are expected to win this game, being able to outscore Burnley, but the Clarets will hit the net, so I'm taking Liverpool to win and BTTS in this one, which looks a good price at 2.8815/8, especially as this has landed in all three of Liverpool's wins so far this season.

Jake Osgathorpe 2019-20 P/L: -£9.00


***

For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.

The Editors' 2019/20 P/L:

1. Jasmine Baba +£10.10
2. Joe Dyer -£1.40
3. Dan Thomas -£2.80
4. Mike Norman -£6.80
5. Jake Osgathorpe -£9.00

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