Reds to go marching on at the Bridge
Back Liverpool to beat Chelsea and both teams to score at 12/5
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The game of the weekend takes place in west London on Sunday as Frank Lampard faces the toughest test of his Chelsea managerial career to date with the visit of league leaders Liverpool.
The Reds suffered their first defeat of the season in Naples on Tuesday but they've been flawless in the league so far and I was a little surprised to see they are available at bigger than evens to win on the Exchange.
Chelsea were impressive in beating Wolves 5-2 last time out but they have only picked up two points from three home games so far, and won just one of their last nine Premier League meetings with Liverpool.
I wouldn't put anyone off taking the 2.0421/20 on the Exchange but I'll add Both Teams to Score to add some juice to that price. We've seen already how expansive Lampard's Chelsea are and the history is also in our favour here; the Blues have only failed to score in one of their last 20 meetings with Liverpool.
Dan Thomas 2019-20 P/L: +£0.20
Stalemate on the southcoast
Back the draw in Southampton v Bournemouth @ 3.711/4
Live on Sky Sports Premier League
It sounds like I've stolen this straight out of Steve Rawlings' preview, but the main consensus no matter where you look is that this southcoast fixture is that it will end up as a draw.
Firstly, Southampton have lost just one of their eight Premier League meetings with Bournemouth (W3 D4) and are unbeaten in all four they have faced against them at St Mary's winning two and drawing the other two. Take in account that Eddie Howe has never his side to victory against the Saints, that would point you to a home win, but there's too many draws in their record to omit. They're still look for their first win of the season at St Mary's too.
It's not only that, but recent form for both teams make it difficult to pick a stronger side. Southampton and Bournemouth are 10th and ninth in the league respectively, both with wins, one draw and two losses. They're only separated by Goals Scored. With bigger prices for draws, it's worth the play here at 3.711/4.
Jasmine Baba 2019-20 P/L: -£9.90
Clarets and Reds to underwhelm
Back under 2.5 goals @ 2.245/4 in West Ham v Man Utd
Live on Sky Sports
West Ham were partly responsible for one of the Premier League's most turgid (turgidest?) fixtures of recent memory when delivering a scoreless draw at Villa Park on Monday night.
The silver lining for Manuel Pellegrini was that his backline recorded their third consecutive clean sheet in the fixture and the Claret and Blue back four does look one of the side's main strengths this year.
In town this weekend are Manchester United. Usually that would set the alarm bells ringing but this year's Reds are no vintage, certainly in attack. The visitors will likely be without Paul Pogba, Anthony Martial and Daniel James so are further weakened upfront.
Put it all together and under 2.5 goals looks the play for me - both sides have delivered on the unders in three of their five top-flight fixtures - and I anticipate both will prefer to play on the counter. I was surprised to see the bet available at such a strong shade of odds-against and that will do me for week six of the battle.
Joe Dyer's 2019-20 P/L: -£21.40
Toffees can cover the handicap against Blades
Back Everton -1 to Win v Sheff Utd @ 3.02/1
Everton are a bit like chalk and cheese when you compare their home form to how they've performed on the road.
Okay, it's still early in the season but Marco Silva's men have won two from two at Goodison Park in the Premier League while away from home they've already lost to Villa and Bournemouth, while only managing a draw at Crystal Palace.
It's hard to put a finger on why they can be so inconsistent but ahead of this game, if you compare the two teams then another home wins looks a strong possibility.
The Blades have performed well so far this term, drawing at Bournemouth and Chelsea on the road but they've managed just one league win in five games and I really do fancy that they'll struggle and be in a relegation scrap come the end of the season.
The Toffees have now won six on the spin in the league at Goodison Park and in that time they've defeated the likes of Arsenal, Chelsea and Manchester United without conceding a single goal. A reproduction of that form will surely see them cover the -1 goal handicap on Saturday.
Mike Norman 2019-20 P/L: -£26.80
Leicester to make a statement against Tottenham
Back Leicester to beat Tottenham @ 3.02/1
Live on BT Sport 1
I'm looking at one of the biggest games of the weekend for my battle bet, with the early Saturday fixture seeing Leicester taking on Tottenham.
Leicester were underwhelming in attack against Manchester United last weekend, but continue to impress defensively, allowing just 0.39 non-pen xGA in 90 minutes, with it clear that Brendan Rodgers has his side well organised and well-drilled.
The Foxes have shown glimpses of what they are capable of in attack, in the second half of their game against Chelsea, and in their last home match against Bournemouth (xG: LEI 2.38 - 0.56 BOU), with Rodgers just needing to settle on a system that gets the best of what are a talented group of players.
Tottenham beat Crystal Palace 4-0 last weekend, but that result really papered over the cracks, as Spurs were hugely flattered by the result (xG: TOT 1.25 - 0.72 CRY), and again showcased signs of weakness against Olympiakos in midweek.
Mauricio Pochettino's side have looked extremely vulnerable defensively so far this campaign, allowing 1.58 xGA per game, so really need to improve if they are to keep things tight here.
Given Tottenham's defensive vulnerabilities and Leicester's solid defensive process, I'm happy to take a chance on the Foxes to get the three points at a big price, and lay down a marker in their bid to break into the top six.
Jake Osgathorpe 2019-20 P/L: -£29.00
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