The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2019-20: Round Five

Leicester striker Jamie Vardy
Will Vardy be having a party on Saturday afternoon?
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The Battle returns after the international break with the editors all tightly bunched together in the standings. Here's where their tenners are headed...

"The Hammers are generating an average of 2.11 xGF per game, so will create good chances, and I think they should be strong favourites to win this game."

Palace the play at stuttering Spurs

Jasmine Baba
Back Palace win/draw v Spurs @ [3.45]
Saturday, 15:00

Jasmine is away

Jasmine Baba 2019-20 P/L: +£0.10

Foxes to flummox wobbly United

Joe Dyer
Back Leicester win/draw v Man Utd @ [2.12]
Saturday, 15:00

There's a fascinating fixture at Old Trafford on Saturday where a very confident Leicester must be very keen on taking something from their clash with a slightly wobbly Manchester United.

Widely tipped for a strong season, the Foxes have been doing just that so far. After opening the campaign with successive draws against Wolves and Chelsea they've enjoyed consecutive victories, beating Sheffield United and Bournemouth. They come into the game in third, behind only Liverpool and Manchester City, and have a near clean bill of health as they chase a win that would lift them above City (albeit almost certainly just for a few hours). It's early days but it sure does look hopeful for Brendan Rodgers' side.

United have not won since the opening day and any early scares for the home side will set the crowd off and possibly the players, too.

Given the state of both sides, the odds here just look a little skew-whiff and I can't pass up the opportunity to back the away win and draw at odds-against in the Double Chance market.

Joe Dyer's 2019-20 P/L: -£11.40

On-form Pukki and Sterling to shine

Dan Thomas
Back Pukki and Sterling to have 1+ shot on target each in Norwich v Man City at 13/10
Saturday, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports Football

It should be an absolutely cracking Saturday evening's viewing when all-conquering Man City visit a Norwich side who have shown they are not afraid to attack the big sides this season already, sharing five goals with both Liverpool (1-4) and Chelsea (2-3).

The fearless attitude the Canaries have adopted in their opening few games is highlighted by an interesting stat from our friends at Opta. They have faced the most open-play shots (54) and conceded the most open-play goals (9), while Man City have attempted the most shots in open-play (62) and scored the most open-play goals (13).

So we can see why City are just [1.17] to win, while Over 2.5 Goals is just a touch bigger at [1.27]. Hard to get any value then in backing the visitors or goals but my eye was drawn to an OddsBoost that the Sportsbook traders are offering.

They've boosted Raheem Sterling and Teemu Pukki both to have at least one shot on target from 10/11 to 13/10 and that looks tasty. The on-form duo both have five goals from four games, from eight and 13 shots on target respectively. In what is likely to be an open game, I'll back the pair to notch at least one more.

Dan Thomas 2019-20 P/L: -£12.80

Goals but no win for Chelsea at Wolves

Mike Norman
Back Wolves Double Chance + Over 2.5 Goals @ 3.41 v Chelsea (Sportsbook Same-Game Multi)

A quick, stats-based punt from yours truly this week.

Chelsea have won just three of their last 18 away games to top-10 opposition, and it's fair to say that we can class Wolves as a top-10 side given they finished seventh last term. True, they're yet to win this season in the league but they have won six out of six Europa League games and have only lost one out of 10 in all competitions.

I'm happy then to wager that Wolves won't lose this encounter.

In addition, I'm confident we'll witness goals in this match. Chelsea under Frank Lampard are a bit gung-ho; they attack with pace, go at their opponents early, and that results in spaces being left at the back and tired legs late in the game. Four of their five matches this season have witnessed at least four goals.

So backing Over 2.5 Goals combined with Wolves or Draw in the Double Chance gives us a return of 3.41 on the Betfair Sportsbook. That'll do for me.

Mike Norman 2019-20 P/L: -£16.80

Haller to pile on Villa woes

Jake Osgathorpe
Back West Ham to win and Sebastien Haller to score anytime @ 4.7 vs Aston Villa (Same Game Multi)

I'm leaving my battle bet to run late this week, waiting until Monday, where Aston Villa take on West Ham on MNF.

Villa have made a very poor start to the season, picking up just three points in 12 games, but they are fortunate to have that many, as performances have been very poor, especially defensively, where they have conceded an average of 1.99 xGA per game while generating just 0.98 xGF - figures we would expect from a relegation threatened team.

West Ham started the season with a heavy defeat to Manchester City and a fortunate draw at Brighton, but since then, they have impressed me greatly in wins over Watford and Norwich.

Manuel Pellegrini has started playing a very attack-minded side, with a front four of Felipe Anderson, Manuel Lanzini, Andriy Yarmolenko and Sébastien Haller are proving a handful, with big money signing Haller making an instant impact.

So far, the big French forward is averaging 0.92 non-pen xG per 90 minutes, leading the league in this stat, ahead of the likes of Raheem Sterling (0.84), Alexandre Lacazette (0.66) and Sergio Agüero (0.61), so he looks like a big coup for West Ham, and will be licking his lips at the thought of facing this porous Villa defence.

The Hammers are generating an average of 2.11 xGF per game, so will create good chances, and I think West Ham should be strong favourites to win this game, with Infogol suggesting they have a 41% chance of getting the win.

I've combined a West Ham win with Sebastien Haller to score anytime given his early season stats, and the Same Game Multi pays a lovely [4.7].

Jake Osgathorpe 2019-20 P/L: -£19.00


***

For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.


The Editors' 2019/20 P/L:

1. Jasmine Baba +£0.10
2. Joe Dyer -£11.40
3. Dan Thomas -£12.80
4. Mike Norman -£16.80
5. Jake Osgathorpe -£19.00

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