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The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2019-20: Round Eight

Frank Lampard - Chelsea
Dan is backing Chelsea to pick up their fourth win in a row when they visit Southampton
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A win for Joe last week cut down Dan's lead to just a few quid and the other editors are not far behind. Here's where their tenners are headed this weekend...

"Opta tell us that Chelsea have scored at least once in each of their last 15 away games against Southampton in all competitions (33 goals in total), while the Saints have found the net in each of their last 17 home Premier League games."

More St Mary's woe for Saints

Dan Thomas
Back Chelsea to beat Southampton and both teams to score at 13/5
Sunday, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports Premier League

After an indifferent start to the season under new boss Frank Lampard, Chelsea look like they are beginning to click in to gear and will be looking for their fourth win on the bounce when they head to the south coast on Sunday.

There have been no home comforts for Southampton thus far this season with just one point from their three games at St Mary's - indeed they haven't won in front of their own fans since April.

So the away win looks like the play here, but there's not much to excite about the odds-on quotes, so I'll add both teams to score to beef up the price.

Opta tell us that Chelsea have scored at least once in each of their last 15 away games against Southampton in all competitions (33 goals in total), while the Saints have found the net in each of their last 17 home Premier League games.

Those of you who like playing on the Same Game Multis will be interested to hear Tammy Abraham - who has scored seven in seven this season - can be backed at 5/4 to net at anytime, but I'll stick to the goals and match bet.

Dan Thomas 2019-20 P/L: +£14.20

Norwich back at home...and back on top?

Joe Dyer
Back Norwich to beat Aston Villa @ [2.52]
Saturday, 15:00

Not every team can point to a record that reads P8 W2 L6...and yet still boast of beating last year's record-setting Premier League champions!

But Norwich can.

Teemu Pukki 2 1280.jpg

The Canaries have an extremely lopsided record that shows two wins from three at home, hitting eight goals across those fixtures, but five defeats from all their away games and just one scored.

It's entirely possible they'll keep that record up, a la Sean Dyche's schizophrenic Burnley side of 2016-17 that avoided relegation by winning 10 home games but just one away.

So I'll take a chance on Teemu Pukki and co getting back to winning ways against an Aston Villa side that lost this fixture last year and has tasted defeat in all three top-flight away fixtures so far this season.

Joe Dyer's 2019-20 P/L: +£6.10

Vardy to trouble league leaders

Jasmine Baba
Back Jamie Vardy to score, under 4.5 goals and Both Teams To Score @ 5.32 (Same Game Multi)
Saturday, 15:00

Last week where I didn't know how the outcome would play out between Bournemouth and West Ham (which turned out to be a 2-2 draw), so I stayed well away from the Win-Draw-Win market and chose to look at goal scorers, which landed. So this week, I'm playing a similar game when in scorers and it comes in the form of Jamie Vardy.

I think this game, has the potential to be unpredictable as Liverpool try to make it eight wins from eight in the Premier League but Leicester look like one of the best teams from outside the top two to take the Reds on. Everyone is highly aware Vardy's goal scoring record against the "Big Six" (and if you're not only Sergio Aguero has a better minutes per goal ratio against those six teams in the league than him since the start of the 2010-2011), and it's even scarier against Liverpool. Only Andy Cole and Thierry Henry have scored more goals against them than Vardy (seven compared to 11 and 8 respectively). So to score anytime at 2/1? It's a yes from me Clive.

But we can do better. These two teams have met 10 times in the League since 2014 and Under 4.5 Goals has landed eight times, so even at 2/9 it boosts our Same Game Multi. However we'll also add Both Teams To Score which is 8/11 as that's also happened eight times. That boosts this bet to approximately 5.32. It's too good not to pass up.

Jasmine Baba 2019-20 P/L: -£1.30

Burnley should be favs, not Everton

Mike Norman
Back Burnley @ [3.0] to beat Everton
Saturday, 15:00

Burnley's only home loss this season was to Liverpool, so no shame there, while they took maximum points against Southampton and Norwich, scoring five and conceding none. The Clarets are unbeaten in their last three away games too, so they are proving hard to beat and looking like the team that performed so well the season before last.

Sean Dyche's men sit mid-table so a win over Everton on Saturday will see them climb into the top six depending on other results, and I have to admit to being very surprised that they're not the favourites to win this clash.

Burnley are [3.0] to win, Everton are [2.66], and I just don't get that. The Toffees are on a very poor run of form having lost four of their last five in the league - two of those coming against newly-promoted clubs - and away from home they're yet to win this season.

There's no doubting the quality in Marco Silva's side but it just looks like too many of his players are performing way below what they're capable of. That may be down to confidence, but whatever it is it's hard to break a winless run, and against a well-organised Burnley side I can see them struggling again.

The Toffees have lost two of their last three visits to Turf Moor, and at [3.0] to back I'm taking Dyche's men to record another home win.

Mike Norman 2019-20 P/L: -£11.80

Goals, Goals, Goals at the Emirates... Again

Jake Osgathorpe
Back Both teams to score and Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.1 (Same Game Multi)
Sunday, 14:00

When you think of both of these teams, Arsenal and Bournemouth, you think of goals, and entertainment, or as Kevin Hatchard would say on Football...Only Bettor - Rainbow Time (it is catching on).

According to expected goals, Arsenal were unfortunate not to get all three points (xG: MUN 1.08 - 2.26 ARS), and followed that up with a thumping win over Standard Liege in which Unai Emery gave more minutes to recovering Kieran Tierney, Hector Bellerin and Rob Holding.

Even if those three return for this game, Arsenal will remain extremely vulnerable defensively. They have allowed 1.85 xGA per game in the Premier League this season, and struggled against Villa in their last home league game, a much less capable attacking side than this Bournemouth team.

The Cherries are an extremely dangerous opponent, and continue to be the league's entertainers, with their last five Premier League games all seeing both teams scoring and over 3.5 goals.

Callum Wilson is in fine form, and will trouble this Arsenal defence, but Bournemouth themselves are allowing over 2 xGA per game, meaning this game could end in a cricket score - boy that would be fun.

Combining BTTS and Over 3.5 Goals in a Same Game Multi pays 2.1, which looks a great price considering these teams only know how to do one thing, ATTACK, and that they have no idea how to defend. 2.1 will do me nicely.

Jake Osgathorpe 2019-20 P/L: -£19.00

***

For more tips and insight on the weekend action, watch the latest Football...Only Bettor podcast, as host Caroline Barker is joined by Kevin Hatchard, Andy Brassell and Infogol's Jake Osgathorpe to discuss all the best betting angles

The Editors' 2019/20 P/L:

1. Dan Thomas +£14.20
2. Joe Dyer +£6.10
3. Jasmine Baba -£1.30
4. Mike Norman -£11.80
5. Jake Osgathorpe -£19.00

Editor,

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