Back Man City -1 vs Aston Villa @ 2.47/5
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Remi Garde must have shrugged his shoulders, let out a little Gallic sign and muttered 'mais non' when he saw the opposition for his first match as Aston Villa manager.
It's the league leaders at Villa Park for the Claret and Blues and Garde will have had less than a week to prepare his troops for this most exacting of tests. They may enjoy a bump under their new manager but it may well come after this match.
City have dealt supremely well without Sergio Aguero and go the Midlands on an eight game unbeaten streak, six without the services of their hotshot striker.
Sevilla, one of La Liga's finest, were beaten 3-1 in front of their own fans in midweek to underline City's current strength. The visitors bring a well-drilled defence to Villa Park and are more than capable of shutting out the weak home attack.
And should they do that they need only score two goals, when they average nearly 2.5 per game. All in all, I like their chances of winning by more than one goal and the 2.47/5 is enough to tempt me in.
Joe Dyer 2015-16 P/L: +£18.40
Back Everton @ 2.8815/8 to beat West Ham
There are a few very strong Opta stats ahead of West Ham's game with Everton, and both favour the away side.
The first is that Romelu Lukaku has scored in every one of his six games against the Hammers, the second being that Everton haven't lost to West Ham since 2007, the 14 league meetings since then resulting in 10 wins for the Toffees and four draws.
That last stat is impossible to ignore, and even more so when you consider that from the last seven league meetings between these two at Upton Park, six have been won by Everton with the other one ending all square.
So consider also West Ham's relatively poor home form this term and the fact that they only seem to win games when they are big-price outsiders (they've already failed to beat Leicester, Bournemouth, Sunderland, Norwich, and Watford this season when well fancied) then Everton look to have a fantastic chance of taking all three points given that the layers have somehow made the Hammers favourites to win here.
West Ham never win as favourites!
Mike Norman 2015-16 P/L: +£11.40
Back Over 3.5 Goals in Bournemouth v Newcastle at 3.39/4
Live on BT Sport 1
My colleague Jaymes Monte makes a persuasive case for an unders bet here and the scoring stats do suggest it could well be a dull encounter, with the hosts struggling in front of goal in the absence of Callum Wilson and Newcastle woeful on the road.
But I'm going to take a punt that it will, in fact, be an entertaining affair in front of the BT cameras with both teams desperate for the points and generally porous at the back.
Steve McClaren's men may be coming off the back of a goalless draw with Stoke but their previous four games saw a total of 22 goals scored, while Bournemouth's last four have seen 14.
For all their poor form, Newcastle have some decent attacking players - as evidenced by their 6-2 thrashing of Norwich - and they could make hay once again against the creaking Cherries backline, while Eddie Howe's men are generally good for at least a goal at home. I'll back at least four here.
Dan Thomas 2015-16 P/L: -£3.80
Back Aleksandar Mitrovic to be shown a card at 3.412/5
Live on BT Sport 1
By any stretch of the imagination, Aleksandar Mitrovic is a loose cannon in the finest Newcastle United tradition, and he has delighted and frustrated Toon fans in equal measure since his arrival from Anderlecht in the summer.
The Serbian has three yellow cards and a red in his six starts this season and surely must rank as a decent bet to be shown a card of some colour on Saturday lunchtime - the pressure of the Magpies being in the bottom three and recently suffering yet another defeat to their fiercest rivals means the stakes are high and players are playing at the edge of their wits looking for points to arrest their slump.
At just 21, Mitrovic will clearly mellow with age but at the moment he has the feel of a one-extreme-to-the-other type player - it's either a couple of well taken goals or a frustrating afternoon which involves him running around kicking people. If it's the latter, we're quids in at 3.412/5 (based on industry prices at the time of writing), and that's where my tenner will be going this weekend.
Luke Moore 2015-16 P/L: -£15.20
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