Back a West Brom Clean Sheet @ 3.711/4 v Leicester
West Brom have kept six clean sheets in 10 games but what's that you say? I can back them to at 3.711/4 to make that seven this weekend? I'm in.
Yes, I know it's Leicester in town, but the price is wrong so that's where the Dyer tenner is going.
Like my good self, the reasoning is frighteningly simple. League's best defence (in terms of shutouts recorded) is at home and in good form and shouldn't be so long in the market.
We all know the Foxes can score, but a 10 game scoring stretch is very good going and it'll end soon. Why not at the Hawthorns? I'm sure wily old tactician Tony Pulis has thought about how he can stop Jamie Vardy and Riyad Mahrez, and his defence will be backing themselves to do just that.
Joe Dyer 2015-16 P/L: +£28.40
Back Any Other Home Win @ 3.55/2 in Man City v Norwich
In recent seasons Man City have never been a side to take their foot off the pedal when holding a comfortable lead and I don't envisage they will do so against Norwich on Saturday should they get themselves into a comfortable position.
Manuel Pellegrini's men are on a hot streak of form at the Etihad Stadium having scored six past Newcastle and five past both Bournemouth and Crystal Palace in their last three domestic home games, and now they face a Norwich side on a losing streak, without a league clean sheet all season, and who conceded six goals at St James' Park a fortnight ago.
In two of those big Man City wins they were without both Sergio Aguero and David Silva so we shouldn't be worried about their absence either, though it's quite possible that Silva could return for the visit of the Canaries.
It's impossible to envisage anything other than another big home win so that's where my tenner is heading this weekend. The Citizens need to win by scoring at least four goals for me to collect and put the heat on Joe, Dan, and Luke. No sweat!
Mike Norman 2015-16 P/L: +£21.40
Back West Ham to beat Watford at 3.02/1
I think few would argue that West Ham - along with Leicester - have been the standout performers in the Premier League this season, with their away form particularly impressive.
Opta tell us that Slaven Bilic's men are unbeaten in their five road trips so far this season (W4 D1) and have collected more points on the road than any other side in 2015-16 (13).
They travel to Watford looking to equal their longest ever unbeaten run in the Premier League era (8), facing a Hornets team who have lost their last two league games at Vicarage Road.
So I was surprised, to say the least, to see the east Londoners rated as 3.02/1 outsiders, with the hosts favourites, at 2.6413/8. The market is probably looking at West Ham's disappointing results against the likes of Bournemouth, Norwich and Sunderland and considering them a bad bet when they are expected to make the running but, on the back of the superb victory over Chelsea, I think 2/1 on an away win represents excellent value.
Dan Thomas 2015-16 P/L: +£6.20
Back Under 2.5 Goals in Swansea v Arsenal at 2.166/5
I was first attracted to this bet on price alone, it seems pretty chunky for a game between two teams that can cancel each other out with pass after pass after pass. Opta tell us that the average amount of goals per game between these two is just a touch over the 2.5 threshold at 2.63, but I can remember last season's fixture at the Emirates - a 0-1 win for the Swans in May.
It's been a busy few weeks for the Gunners - decent wins in the Premier League and in Europe have been tempered somewhat by a truly dreadful display midweek in the Capital One Cup, and I have a feeling they might not have it all their own way against a Swansea side who are looking to get their season back on track, and expand on that vital win against Aston Villa last time out.
It's a clash between two teams with a similar style, and I can see it petering out. Under 2.5 Goals at that 2.166/5 odds-against price has to be taken.
Luke Moore 2015-16 P/L: -£5.20
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