Joe Dyer
Back Stoke/Under 3.5 Goal Double @ 6/4 v Watford
Saturday, 15:00
I've written elsewhere about how keen I am on Stoke against Watford this weekend so I won't repeat myself too much here.
Essentially I fear for Watford this season as - Odion Ighalo apart - they lack a goalscoring threat, scoring just six times in nine league games.
Happily for fans of the Hornets, they combine that paucity of goals with a resolute defence. They have only been beaten by more than one goal against Manchester City (2-0) and Arsenal (3-0) in the league. Watford are tough to beat but with five blanks in the top-flight so far one goal should often be enough to get past them.
Stoke are not heavy goalscorers, but they bring a winning mentality into Saturday's game and have discovered their own defensive form recently, having kept clean sheets in their last two Premier League games.
I like Stoke's price in the Match Odds (2.166/5) but I will try to squeeze bigger returns from a home win by combining in a double with Under 3.5 Goals on the Sportsbook at 6/4.
Joe Dyer 2015-16 P/L: +£38.40
Dan Thomas
Back Under 2.5 Goals in Bournemouth v Tottenham @ 2.01/1
Sunday, 14:05
That last minute Jamie Vardy equaliser for Leicester at St Mary's helped land my over 3.5 goals bet last weekend and I was tempted to stick with the Foxes again, but a bigger price down on the south coast has caught the eye.
The injury hit Cherries have found Premier League tough going so far, with goals in short supply, especially at the Vitality Stadium, where all four games this season have gone under 2.5 goals.
They face a solid looking Tottenham outfit, who have the joint best defensive record in the Premier League (seven conceded) and tend to feature in tight games away from home, with all bar one seeing three goals or fewer.
Add in the fact Mauricio Pochettino's men are playing in Belgium on Thursday night and it all points to a tight affair so unders at evens looks an excellent price.
Dan Thomas 2015-16 P/L: +£16.20
Mike Norman
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Aston Villa v Swansea @ 2.3611/8
Saturday, 15:00
My colleague Joe tells me that every time one of us has put up 'Overs' in a game featuring Aston Villa it's ended up being a dull low-scoring game. I'm sure he's trying to get in my head, he's like that!
I'll no doubt end up regretting not listening to Joe's words of wisdom as the Betting Battle leader is in fine form but I will on this occasion as I really fancy a high-scoring game at Villa Park.
If rumours are to be believed then Tim Sherwood doesn't have much longer to save his job and he'll almost certainly send out an attack-minded side against a low-on-confidence Swansea team. And even though Villa have lost a few low-scoring home games recently you don't have to look too far back in their results to see that they scored two at Liverpool, two at Leicester, and two against Sunderland.
Swansea are on a bad run of form admittedly, but prior to their home defeat to Stoke on Monday night they drew 2-2 with Spurs, and they certainly have enough attacking talent to trouble a Villa side that has failed to keep a clean sheet since the opening day of the season.
With two sides desperate for a win, hopefully this will be a nervous, tense, open affair, full of mistakes. And as a result we'll see the net bulge at least three times.
Mike Norman 2015-16 P/L: +£7.80
Luke Moore
Back Chelsea to beat West Ham at 2.021/1
Saturday, 15:00
I sided with Chelsea last week against Aston Villa and they didn't let me down. They ended up winning 2-0 and in truth it could have been more.
West Ham are a better team than Villa and they've started the season well, but I've been far more impressed with them on the road than at home. In fact, all their standout results have come away from the Boleyn Ground and Chelsea look like a team in the process of turning the corner after an awful start.
The Blues have a good record overall against the Hammers also; Opta tell us that Mourinho's men haven't conceded so much as a single goal in their last five games against Saturday's opponents. An odds-against price of 2.021/1 on the champions is too good to resist - I don't think the market has analysed West Ham's home form nearly enough. I expect Chelsea to win.
Luke Moore 2015-16 P/L: +£4.80
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