The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2014/15: Round 6

Editor
25 September 2014

Luke expects goals as Warnock's Palace take on Leicester

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The Editors went three winning tips from four last weekend, with only that late Frank Lampard strike preventing a full house. All four are now in profit and they'll want to build on that this weekend. Here are their selections...

"Steve Bruce's men have recorded just one clean sheet in the top-flight this year, and that speaks of a new mindset and a manager attempting to weave fresh attacking talent into his team. They may breach the City backline but the visitors should be able to score more than one of their own."

Back Over 2.5 Goals in Hull City v Man City @ 1.875/6

Joe Dyer
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Hull City v Man City @ 1.875/6
Saturday, 15:00

At nearly 1.910/11 I'm keen on Hull's Saturday set-to with Manchester City crossing the 2.5 line.

Hull, low-scorers extraordinaire in recent years, seem to have shaken off their goalscoring shackles this season, notching two goals in each of their last three games. That run includes a pair of 2-2 draws in the Premier League which they then followed up with a five-goal thriller at West Brom in the Capital One Cup.

City have struggled to hit the searing goalscoring pace of 2013/14 when they breached the 100 mark but - Alvaro Negredo excepted - they retain all of last year's attacking talent and clearly have the ability to destroy near enough any opponent. A 7-0 thumping of Sheffield Wednesday in midweek will have reminded this team of its power after struggling to score against opposition of the very highest class (Bayern Munich and Chelsea) in the previous two matches.

Steve Bruce's men have recorded just one clean sheet in the top-flight this year, and that speaks of a new mindset and a manager attempting to weave fresh attacking talent into his team. They may breach the City backline but the visitors should be able to score more than one of their own.

Joe Dyer 2014-15 P/L +£7.20

Dan Thomas
Back Under 1.5 Goals in West Brom v Burnley at 3.1511/5
Sunday, 16:00
Live on Sky Sports 1

I thought I was on to another nice winner last weekend when Chelsea snatched a late lead at the Etihad but we all know what happened next (even though it 'couldn't have been scripted').

But we move on and I'm in bigger than 2/1 territory again for this week's bet as two of the three lowest scoring teams in the league - four goals between them - meet at the Hawthorns.

West Brom, who have three of those goals, come off the back of an impressive 1-0 at Spurs but that win was based on defensive solidity more than anything else, with debutant Joleon Lescott in fine form, and it's hard to see their misfiring strikers having much success against a well drilled Clarets backline.

And with just the solitary goal to their name, Burnley will struggle to get past Lescott and co, especially with Sam Vokes and Danny Ings still on the treatment table.

Under 2.5 Goals at at 1.758/11 is the safer bet - there is a chance both teams will target this game as a chance to get three points - but I'm happy to go for the bigger price on Under 1.5. Here's to a dull end to 'Super Sunday'!

Dan Thomas 2014-15 P/L: +£4.70

Mike Norman
Back Southampton HT/Southampton FT @ 2.166/5 v QPR
Saturday, 15:00

Forgive me for sounding like a broken record but I've been seriously impressed with Southampton so far this season and on current form they ought to have few problems getting past QPR.

But this is a league where absolutely anything can happen - Stoke winning at Man City for example - so that last thing I want to do is recommend a 1.4640/85 shot when any side, in any given game, can have a complete off-day.

Instead I'll take a chance on Southampton leading at the interval before going on to take all three points. Ronald Koeman's men have generally started games well recently, scoring two in the first period and leading at half-time against Arsenal in midweek, and the same was true in their last home game when they thrashed Newcastle 4-0.

QPR on the other hand haven't been so great, especially away from home. They've already lost heavily at Tottenham and Manchester United, and if you can't score against Louis van Gaal's men then you must be poor!

Opta tell us that the Saints have scored four goals in three of their last seven Premier League home games whereas QPR have failed to score a single goal in any of their last five Premier League away games. A comfortable home win is how I see this game ending, let's just hope we see a few first half goals.

Mike Norman 2014-15 P/L: +£4

Luke Moore

Back Over 2.5 Goals in Crystal Palace v Leicester at 2.166/5
Saturday, 15:00

After two wins in a row in the battle, I'm now on for a hat-trick. And I think I've picked out an absolute doozy at an odds-against price.

Both of these teams have seen huge amounts of goals in their Premier League games so far, and both would have singled this game out as a winnable one in their bid to avoid relegation.

What's more, Leicester will come into the game with burgeoning confidence and a knowledge that they can score goals and create chances. Crystal Palace will hold no fear for them, and nor should they. The Eagles don't look the same side under Neil Warnock; they concede a lot from set-pieces and are far less solid than they were under Tony Pulis.

Essentially, I'm surprised to see Overs trading at an odds-against price and I'm delighted to take it on and hopefully further increase my profit.

Luke Moore 2014-15 P/L: +£2

A £10 bet is placed on each selection on Betfair's Exchange. Profits are calculated before commission.