The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2014/15: Round 36

What's that? We're better than evens to win a home game?
What's that? We're better than evens to win a home game?
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A good weekend for the editors last time out with three of the four landing nicely priced winning bets, meaning it is all to play for with just four rounds remaining (they finish with an FA Cup bet). Find out where their tenners are headed this weekend...

"Even if both sides throw caution to the wind and go all out attack for the entirety of the 90 minutes, we still won't see more than one goal, and that is likely to be a deflected fluke. 3.052/1 is an astonishing price. It really, really is."

Luke Moore says Back Under 1.5 Goals in Hull v Burnley at 3.052/1
Saturday, 15:00

Joe Dyer
Back West Brom to beat Newcastle at 2.982/1
Saturday, 15:00

Newcastle's season touched a new low last weekend when two men were sent off in a humbling defeat at Leicester. That made it eight straight Premier League losses for the Magpies who now have just a two point cushion to the drop zone. In the midst of this painful run it's hard to imagine the Toon turning things around against any side.

This weekend's opponents, West Brom, go to St James' Park on the back of an impressive little run that brought a win at Old Trafford last weekend, which was preceded by a draw at home to Liverpool and a victory at then in-form Crystal Palace.

So where Newcastle will likely be a panicky outfit struggling for fluidity, Tony Pulis's Baggies should be well-drilled, confident and ready to pick up the positive result that should near enough guarantee safety. It's true that West Brom's away form is unimpressive but neither is Newcastle's home form and in such a fixture I'd much rather be against the team in meltdown!

Looking at the odds I was surprised to see West Brom as outsiders of the two teams to win and I'm happy to put them up as my Battle bet this week.

Joe Dyer 2014-15 P/L +£2.10


Dan Thomas
Back Chelsea to beat Liverpool at 2.166/5
Sunday, 16:00
Live on Sky Sports 1

Every now and then on the Exchange football markets you'll see a team drifting markedly. Very occasionally it will be for a solid reason such as an outbreak of illness but, more often that not, momentum just builds on its own with layers assuming something is up.

Chelsea opened for Sunday's game with Liverpool at around 1.758/11 but, at the time of writing, they are right out at 2.166/5. Now I might have missed Jose Mourinho promising to play the kitman in goal, but much better than evens for the best team in the land against a struggling Liverpool side? Yes please.

I can only think the layers believe it will be 'after the Lord Mayor's show' for the Blues after they confirmed the league title last weekend, but there is no way Mourinho will let them take their foot off the gas, especially against Liverpool who have become fierce rivals in recent years.

While Brendan Rodgers' men have lost just one of their last four league visits to Stamford Bridge, Mourinho's record against the Reds is phenomenal - Opta tell us he has won eight and lost just one of their 10 league clashes.

Expect that to be nine in 11 come Sunday teatime.

Dan Thomas 2014-15 P/L: -£10.55


Luke Moore
Back Under 1.5 Goals in Hull v Burnley at 3.052/1
Saturday, 15:00

Both of these teams are utterly appalling at the most important part of football in the modern age - scoring goals. Burnley haven't scored a goal since 4th February 1967 when they secured a plucky 1-1 draw against Matt Busby's Manchester United and Hull are to scoring goals what Nigel Pearson is to sane, rational press conferences.

Put simply, there will be less than 1.5 goals in this game because neither team is fully adept at knowing what it takes to put the ball in the net. Even if both sides throw caution to the wind and go all out attack for the entirety of the 90 minutes, we still won't see more than one goal, and that is likely to be a deflected fluke.

3.052/1 is an astonishing price. It really, really is.

Luke Moore 2014-15 P/L: -£38.80


Mike Norman
Back Christian Benteke First Goalscorer @ 4.57/2 in Villa v West Ham
Saturday, 15:00

Finally, a winner, and a good price one too at 8.27/1. If only Villa and Everton could play each other every week as that fixture always throws up goals.

I've found it almost impossible to come up with a solid decent price selection this week and I have to admit I'm still struggling. I've had Chelsea -1 against Liverpool in my head, Arsenal -2 against Swansea, Sergio Aguero to score at least two against QPR, but they're all priced at around the 3/1 mark and I'd have liked slightly bigger.

So my choice this week has to be Christian Benteke to score first for Aston Villa against West Ham, though I'm still not overly excited about his price of 4.57/2.

The Belgian is in superb form for a Villa side who are scoring goals, and winning games, regularly again. He has scored 11 in his last 10 outings and if Villa are to beat West Ham, like I believe they will, then Benteke is by far the most likely man to get on the scoresheet. Fingers cross he nets first.

Mike Norman 2014-15 P/L: -£83.80


A £10 bet is placed on each selection on Betfair's Exchange. Profits are calculated before commission.


Editors 2014/15 Season P/L

1. Joe Dyer: +£2.10
2. Dan Thomas: -£10.55
3. Luke Moore: -£38.80
4. Mike Norman: -£83.80

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