The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2014/15: Round 31

Dick Advocaat must be desperate to get his side out on the pitch again, but will they serve up goals in Sunday's Tyne-Wear derby?
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The editors return after the international break with all still to play for in this season's Betting Battle. Dan Thomas remains at the top but Joe Dyer and Luke Moore aren't far behind, while Mike Norman has gone for a slightly leftfield bet as he looks to make up ground on the others...

"There have been 18 goals in Tottenham's last four matches and I'm expecting a least another four on Sunday lunchtime, at a decent looking price."

Dan Thomas: Back Over 3.5 Goals in Burnley v Tottenham at 3.211/5
Sunday, 13:30
Live on Sky Sports 1

Dan Thomas
Back Over 3.5 Goals in Burnley v Tottenham at 3.211/5
Sunday, 13:30
Live on Sky Sports 1

This looks like it could be an Easter Sunday cracker for Sky viewers with plenty of goalmouth action at both ends.

Burnley will be looking to build on the superb victory over Man City last time out and will no doubt attack a fragile Tottenham backline that has kept just one clean sheet in the past 13 away matches.

While that City win was by a solitary goal, the net has bulged 11 times in the past four games at Turf Moor and we're getting to the time of the season where draws aren't really good enough for a team in 18th place.

Tottenham, meanwhile, come off the back of a haphazard 4-3 win over Leicester that featured some truly rank defending. There have been 18 goals in their last four matches and I'm expecting a least another four on Sunday lunchtime, at a decent looking price.

Dan Thomas 2014-15 P/L: +£6.45


Joe Dyer
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Sunderland v Newcastle @ 2.3611/8
Sunday, 16:00
Live on Sky Sports 1

I knew I was in for another losing week when West Brom had a man sent off in the first minute of their visit to Man City last time out. With 11 men the Baggies had a chance of restricting Aguero and co. to under 2.5 goals, but with 10 it was a hopeless task.

It's to the Stadium of Light I go this week win search of a winner. Sunderland's 4pm kick-off against local rivals Newcastle really could be anything - almost any result wouldn't be a surprise - and yet the market is firmly in favour of a boring, low-scoring affair. I sense a slightly 'wrong' set of odds here and will be taking a chance on more than 2.5 goals at a decent odds-against price (2.3611/8).

This is of course the Black Cats' first home game under Dick Advocaat and the Dutch manager will be unusually desperate to get a win with his new side just a point above the relegation zone. With Jermain Defoe, Connor Wickham and Steven Fletcher on the pitch Sunderland were set up to attack at West Ham and I'm hoping for similar on Sunday.

Newcastle's John Carver needs to get some good stuff out of his side if he is to retain his position as manager next season and what better way to do that than a defeat of their biggest rivals? Newcastle showed some very decent attacking play against Arsenal and more of the same should surely see a goal or two.

There's plenty riding on this game and that pressure could well tip over into goals, goals, goals. Overs it is.

Joe Dyer 2014-15 P/L -£19.50


Luke Moore
Back Manchester United-1 v Aston Villa at 1.855/6
Saturday, 15:00

Aston Villa's record against Manchester United in the Premier League is absolutely risible - they've posted just one win in 38 games. I expect that record to continue at Old Trafford on Saturday afternoon.

United have won their last four league games and are coming into a decent run of form at the right time, and although Villa have looked a little more resurgent under new manager Tim Sherwood, the facts are they've lost eight of their last ten games and were pretty poor in their last outing - a drab 0-1 defeat at home to Swansea.

There's not a huge amount of value in the straight Match Odds market, so I'll happily take United with a goal handicap at a far chunkier price. I can see this being a straight 2-0 win, and 1.855/6 is a decent enough price against a team with such a poor record in this fixture.

Luke Moore 2014-15 P/L: -£38.30


Mike Norman
Back Leicester -2 to Win @ 17/2 v West Ham
(Sportsbook)
Saturday, 15:00

You'll probably fall off your chair laughing when I tell you that in my regular Premier League column, looking at the non-TV games, I've had 13 winners from my last 16 selections. It's incredible really to think I've now had 10 or 11 consecutive losers in this Battle.

With hindsight I probably shouldn't have gone for the ambitious wagers so early, so credit to Lukey for staying patient, but now I've made my bed I really must lie in it. I'm in excess of £120 behind Dan so only three or four decent price winners will get the job done from here.

So my first shot in the dark is to back Leicester to beat West Ham; not by just one goal though, not by two either, but by at least three. Madness I know. But you're only as good as your last tip, and that was a loser, so I can't get any worse!

The Foxes scored two at Everton and three at Tottenham recently so we know they have some fight left in them and are scoring goals again - that gives us a bit of hope.

But my main reason for the bet is that West Ham are struggling badly and there seems to be more unrest in the camp, especially surrounding the future of Sam Allardyce. The Hammers needed a last-ditch winner against Sunderland to avoid making it nine games without a win and I just sense that they are now in 'holiday mode'. If Leicester get an early goal then they might, just might, win handsomely.

Mike Norman 2014-15 P/L: -£115.80


A £10 bet is placed on each selection on Betfair's Exchange. Profits are calculated before commission.


Editors 2014/15 Season P/L

1. Dan Thomas: +£6.45
2. Joe Dyer: -£19.50
3. Luke Moore: -£38.30
4. Mike Norman: -£115.80

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