Racing Post Free Bet Drop
Racing Post Free Bet Drop

The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2014/15: Round 20

Dan isn't expecting goals when Crystal Palace go to Villa Park
Dan isn't expecting goals when Crystal Palace go to Villa Park

Huge correct score winners for both Joe Dyer and Dan Thomas over Christmas have changed the dynamics of this season's Battle, with Joe now miles in front and Dan back from the dead. Can they build on this success? And how will Mike and Luke respond? Here are their New Year's Day selections...

"Paul Lambert's men have only scored 11 goals all season, while Palace have managed just two in their last six outings and are also coming off the back of a goalless draw, at QPR."

Dan Thomas says: Back Under 1.5 Goals in Aston Villa v Crystal Palace at 2.9215/8


Joe Dyer
Back West Ham @ 1.8910/11 v West Brom 
Thursday, 15:00

I think the phrase is... BOOM! It's always nice to hit a big priced winner, but an 8/1 shot in this comp is especially pleasing. 

Returns won't be as big if this week's bet comes in but the price can still be considered big even though it's odds-on.

Regular readers won't be surprised to read that I'm once again boarding the West Ham Bus in an attempt to reach Profit Central but I think their price this weekend - 1.8910/11 to beat West Brom - is bordering on mega value.

Thursday's opponents sacked manager Alan Irvine in the week and while there may be Tony Pulis in charge and an accompanying bounce for the Baggies I'd far rather trust a team ten places above them, that has repeatedly impressed this season and has just troubled Chelsea and Arsenal in successive games. 

Ten home games in the league have brought six wins with only Spurs, Southampton and Arsenal taking three points from the Hammers. Sam Allardyce will be keen to get his team back to winning ways after two festive defeats and has a near enough full strength team to choose from as he chases that aim. 

West Ham are rightfully favourites to beat the Baggies but I think they should be far shorter than their odds suggest and at 1.8910/11 they'll do for me in Round 20 of the Battle. 

Joe Dyer 2014-15 P/L +£90.50


Mike Norman
Back Any Other Home Win @ 5.69/2 in Liverpool v Leicester
Thursday, 15:00

Hats off to Joe and Dan for their Correct Score successes over the Christmas period, but Joe's winner especially has left the rest of us behind the eight ball somewhat.

So it's time for me to unleash the type of bet that won me the title last season, the Any Unquoted Correct Score bet - any side to score at least four goals. Oh hang on, that bet isn't available anymore. Instead we have to choose between Any Other Home Win, Away Win, or Draw. It's effectively the same bet, just a tiny bit braver with slightly better odds on whichever option you go for.

So it's an Any Other Home Win for me at Anfield, which simply means Liverpool must win by scoring at least four goals, or in other words, something similar to what the Reds did to Swansea on Monday.

Brendan Rodgers men are starting to find their feet again and Raheem Sterling looks to be on his way back to his best in his new role as a striker who runs around the frontline like a headless chicken - didn't he pull out of an England game once becuase he was tired? I'm not surprised.

Anyway, if Liverool can score four past Swansea then they'll have a chance of getting four against a Leicester side who had taken just two points from a possible 39 prior to Sunday's 1-0 win over hapless Hull.

Mike Norman 2014-15 P/L: -£15.80


Dan Thomas
Back Under 1.5 Goals in Aston Villa v Crystal Palace at 2.9215/8
Thursday, 15:00

Yet another 2-1 scoreline in a Tottenham game means I am back into the middle of the chasing pack as we go into 2015, and I'm hoping to start the New Year with a decent priced winner.

Joe landed a nice correct score bet backing 0-0 in Villa's last outing, against Sunderland, and I wouldn't be surprised if we saw a repeat on Thursday - currently priced at 8.88/1 - given the two sides' struggles in front of goal.

Paul Lambert's men have only scored 11 goals all season, while Palace have managed just two in their last six outings and are also coming off the back of a goalless draw, at QPR. And looking at Opta's head-to-head stats, Villa have scored just twice in the last five meetings with the Eagles.

I'll probably have a couple of quid on the 0-0 scoreline, but I'll play a little safer for the Battle and keep one goal on my side, which still pays out at nearly 2/1.

Dan Thomas 2014-15 P/L: -£16.70


Luke Moore
Back Queens Park Rangers to beat Swansea at 3.052/1
Thursday, 15:00

A Man City meltdown and two huge (and mug punt/lucky) winners for Joe and Dan means I am somehow propping up the table. I'm having flashbacks from last season when I finished dead last, so I need to up my game and get into the black.

QPR, despite being utterly risible away from home, are pretty good at Loftus Road. They boast easily the best home record in the bottom half of the table and I am attracted by their price against Swansea.

Yes, Liverpool were fantastic at Anfield at the weekend, but what's not been said much is that the Swans were pretty poor and their record on the road is dire - one win since the first day of the season, against a dreadful Hull City. I'll take 2/1 on Harry Redknapp's men to do the business.

Luke Moore 2014-15 P/L: -£28.70


A £10 bet is placed on each selection on Betfair's Exchange. Profits are calculated before commission.


Editors 2014/15 Season P/L

1. Joe Dyer: +£90.50
2. Mike Norman: -£15.80
3. Dan Thomas: -£16.70
4. Luke Moore: -£28.70

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