The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2014/15: Round 11

Wilfried Bony will fancy his chances against Arsenal
Wilfried Bony will fancy his chances against Arsenal
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All four editors drew a blank last weekend so it's 'as you were' in the standings, with Mike continuing to lead the way and the other three closely bunched in behind. Here are their picks for this weekend...

"The Gunners have been inconsistent on the road so far this season, with three draws, three wins and two defeats in all competitions, while Swansea have won five of their seven home games, so Arsene Wenger and his patched up side will probably be happy enough to settle for a point in south Wales."

Dan Thomas says: Back The Draw in Swansea v Arsenal at 3.613/5


Mike Norman
Back Hull at 3.02/1 to beat Burnley
Saturday, 15:00

You know how the saying goes, when something looks too good to be true then it probably is. That's the feeling I'm getting regarding Hull on Saturday but I can't let them go unbacked at 3.02/1 to win at Burnley.

To be honest, I'm in complete amazement that the Clarets are favourites to win this game. Bottom of the Premier League table, without a win in any competition all season, just five goals scored in almost four months, and they've just suffered back-to-back home defeats, conceding three goals each time.

So remind me again why Sean Dyche's men are favourites to win this encounter!

True, Hull aren't the greatest team in the world but their last two away games resulted in draws at Arsenal and Liverpool. There was no disgrace in failing to score at Anfield and against in-form Southampton last week, but prior to those games Steve Bruce's men were averaging almost two goals scored per match. Burnley on the other hand averaged 0.5 goals scored per match.

At this stage I'd wager that the Clarets will win no more than three or four league games all season. For some reason they are favourites to get their first win on Saturday - I don't think they will and I'm all over Hull to record an away victory.

Mike Norman 2014-15 P/L: +£22.40


Dan Thomas
Back The Draw in Swansea v Arsenal at 3.613/5
Sunday, 16:00
Live on Sky Sports 1

The final game of the weekend should be an entertaining one as Arsenal look to bounce back from that embarrassing 3-3 draw with Anderlecht against a Swansea team who have made their best ever start to a Premier League season.

Over 2.5 Goals looks like a reasonable bet at 1.910/11 with the in-form Alexis Sanchez and Wilfried Bony on show, but I want to make up some ground on Mike so I'm taking a chance on the stalemate at a decent looking 3.613/5.

The Gunners have been inconsistent on the road so far this season, with three draws, three wins and two defeats in all competitions, while Swansea have won five of their seven home games, so Arsene Wenger and his patched up side will probably be happy enough to settle for a point in south Wales.

Garry Monk's men taking the lead will be a positive sign for the bet - Opta tell us that Swansea have dropped the joint-most points from winning positions this season (8), while Arsenal have recovered the most from losing positions (7).

Dan Thomas 2014-15 P/L: -£22.70


Luke Moore
Back Any Unquoted in QPR v Man City at 5.59/2 in Correct Score market
Saturday, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports 1

I was sorely tempted to go with Eden Hazard to score at any time against Liverpool this weekend; his record against the Reds is very good. However, his missed penalty in the Champions League midweek made me think twice (silly, I know) and instead I've settled on a game I think could have a good amount of drama in it.

Man City have shown themselves to be capable of scoring a decent amount of goals when the mood takes them, and QPR have the worst defence in the Premier League. What's more, City's propensity for conceding at silly times in games they really should be winning easily also adds a bit of an edge to the encounter, as it may push the away side on to look for more and more goals.

I'm not too concerned by David Silva's absence from Manuel Pellegrini's side - Opta tell us that City are actually undefeated in the last eight games he's missed through injury and Sergio Aguero has shown he can score four (the amount needed to settle this bet in the 'win' column) on his own.

The price is good, the omens are good, let's hope it rolls in.

Luke Moore 2014-15 P/L: -£23


Joe Dyer
Back Over 2.5 Goals at 2.01/1 in West Ham v Aston Villa 
Saturday, 15:00 
 

According to the odds it's a straight 50/50 call on Over/Under 2.5 Goals at the Boelyn Ground when West Ham entertain Aston Villa on Saturday afternoon. 

I really don't see it like that and am happy to make Overs my bet as I seek a morale-boosting return to winning ways after Newcastle and Liverpool narrowly failed to produce the predicted stalemate last time out. 

The stats suggest we should be in for goals in this Claret and Blue derby

Fifth-placed West Ham owe their lofty position to an attack that has produced 19 goals already including nine in the last four. The defence isn't all that though - keeping one clean sheet so far this season. 

That suggests even Villa's powderpuff strike force can find the back of the net. They finally broke their long goalless streak against Spurs last time out and if they weigh in with a goal of their own the bet should land. 

And even if they don't, West Ham, who have Diafra Sakho back from injury and recalled England midfielder Stewart Downing in rampant form, back, are capable of hitting three of their own. 

Joe Dyer 2014-15 P/L -£24.10


A £10 bet is placed on each selection on Betfair's Exchange. Profits are calculated before commission.


Editors 2014/15 Season P/L

1. Mike Norman: +£22.40
2. Dan Thomas: -£22.70
3. Luke Moore: -£23.00
4. Joe Dyer: -£24.10

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