Another winner for Dan Thomas last week moved him well clear in the inaugural battle of the editors, but Mike Norman finally got off the mark and he, Joe Dyer, and Luke Moore are desperate to cut down Dan's lead in week seven...
"Tottenham usually find a way to win but only via one, possibly two, goals. West Ham have drawn a blank in four of their six matches, including three of the last four. When a price looks wrong you really ought to take advantage and I intend to do that this week."
A couple of weeks back, I landed a juicy 4.47/2 shot when Arsenal won both halves against Sunderland and I'm going for a similar bet this weekend as the Gunners travel to West Brom.
Opta tell us that Arsene Wenger's men have scored a league-high four goals in the opening 15 minutes of Premier League games this season and have netted first in each of their six PL games, while five of West Brom's six goals this season have arrived in the second half.
This all points to Arsenal taking a first-half lead, but the visitors are way too short in the Next Goal market and are at only 2.3811/8 to be leading after 45 minutes, so I'm going for the Gunners to be winning at both half-time and full-time at a more attractive 3.02/1.
Dan Thomas 2013-14 P/L: + £64.79
I'm not sure why the Betfair markets are expecting goals at White Hart Lane on Sunday. I'm not, and I intend to get involved with my Betting Battle bet, but how best to profit?
If feeling fantastically foolhardy I'd get on the 0-0 at around 15.014/1 - the Hammers have been involved in seven since the start of last season - but I do expect a goal in the game and a correct score bet is a trading option as far as I'm concerned. So it's down to the over/unders markets in my search for profit. Under 1.5 @ 4.57/2 is very tempting and falls firmly in the punchy category but a solid back of under 2.5 at 2.1211/10 is my selection this week.
Here's the reasoning: Spurs are not heavy scorers, they are third in the league thanks to defensive resilience. Tottenham usually find a way to win but only via one, possibly two, goals. West Ham have drawn a blank in four of their six matches, including three of the last four.
When a price looks wrong you really ought to take advantage and I intend to do that this week.
Joe Dyer 2013-14 P/L: - £7.40
It was completely typical that, having been really enthusastic about Norwich early on this season only to see them fall short of expectations, the moment I oppose them they get a win away from home.
This week I've plumped for a bit more of a niche selection, and my rationale is fairly straightforward and two-pronged.
Firstly, Sunderland have played with a lot more freedom and confidence since Paolo Di Canio has packed his belongings and I feel they can keep a misfiring Manchester United at bay at least for a while. I expect United to eventually win out, but it'll take a little bit of time. Secondly, Sunderland have conceded a lot of goals late on this season (according to Opta, seven of their 14 conceded so far have been in the final 15 minutes of games) and United are known for their late rallies.
Luke Moore 2013-14 P/L: - £41.40
I finally got off the mark by opposing Crystal Palace last week, and I really ought to have been a bit braver and gone for a Southampton Win to Nil (which I made my best bet in my 3pm kick-off column).
And this week I seriously considered going for the Win to Nil aspect of the bet as 1) Liverpool will beat Palace on Saturday, and 2) they ought to do so without conceding. But this time I have been a tad braver.
The Reds have won four league games this season and three of those victories were achieved by keeping a clean sheet. The Eagles on the other hand have managed to score goals against Stoke and Sunderland only this term and they've lost their last three games without scoring a single goal. So yes, Liverpool should Win to Nil.
But I'm prepared to play in the Correct Score market here. Three of Liverpool's victories were achieved by a 1-0 scoreline, but that was without the services of Luis Suarez who looked very sharp at Sunderland last week. With him back in the side I can see Liverpool scoring two or three times here, hopefully it will be three, and hopefully they won't concede.
Mike Norman 2013-14 P/L: - £44.50
A £10 bet is placed on each selection on Betfair's Exchange. Profits are calculated before commission
Editors' Battle P/L
1. Dan Thomas: + £64.79
2. Joe Dyer: - £7.40
3. Luke Moore: - £41.40
4. Mike Norman: - £44.50
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