The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2013/14: Week Nine

Two of our bets involve Alan Pardew's Newcastle

Wins for Joe Dyer and Luke Moore last week edge them closer to faltering leader Dan Thomas, but for Mike Norman the misery continues as we enter week nine of the Editor's Betting Battle...

"Crystal Palace are in disarray both on and off the pitch at the moment, and if Arsenal aren't the last team they want to face at the moment, I'd imagine they're fairly near the top of the list."

Luke Moore says: Back Arsenal -1 to beat Crystal Palace at 2.111/10

Dan Thomas
Back Under 2.5 Goals in Southampton v Fulham at 1.981/1
Saturday, 17:30

Well, my 'exciting' bet on Sunderland last week wasn't a great success. Perhaps 'new manager bounce' isn't scientifically rigorous after all.

If in doubt return to the tried and trusted and it's another solid even money bet for me this weekend as Southampton host Fulham in the Saturday tea-time game, live on Sky.

Everyone knows how solid Mauricio Pochettino's men are these days - just three goals conceded all season - and their games at St Mary's this season have been low scoring affairs, with just six goals scored in the four Premier League games on the south coast.

Before hitting poor old Crystal Palace for four on Monday night, Martin Jol's side had only managed one goal in three away games and their struggles on the road are well documented, so I'm not expecting Artur Boruc to have a busy afternoon.

I was expecting Under 2.5 Goals to be nearer 1.84/5 so the 1.981/1 available looks like a great price and is my confident bet for this week.

Dan Thomas 2013-14 P/L: + £44.79

Joe Dyer
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Sunderland v Newcastle @ 1.9420/21
Sunday, 13:30 

The Tyne-Wear derby is always an intense affair but one that has been strangely lacking in goals in recent years. 

Only two of the last six meetings between the two have exceeded the 2.5 mark but there are good reasons to back an entertaining game in Sunday's early kick-off. In fact, there are two good reasons - both sides' defences are hopeless!  

Sunderland seem to be going after Swindon's record for most goals conceded in a season, after letting in 20 from the opening eight fixtures. Newcastle are marginally better (14 in eight) but they're still the third worst unit in the top flight. Alan Pardew's side's last five fixtures have all gone over 2.5. 

True, the Black Cats are pretty useless in front of goal, but they have been without Steven Fletcher for much of the season. The Scottish striker is a dangerous player - a quality finisher and the sort of player who will keep his opponents busy throughout. In the frenetic atmosphere of a blood and thunder derby, with Fletcher at one end and Loic Remy at the other, it's easy to foresee both sides scoring. 

Despite the stats pointing to a decent number of goals, over 2.5 can be backed at 1.9420/21, and that will be my bet in this week's Betting Battle.  

Joe Dyer 2013-14 P/L: - £8.40

Luke Moore
Back Arsenal -1 to beat Crystal Palace at 2.111/10
Saturday, 12:45

After two wins on the bounce I'm now on a hat-trick and have decided to go to Selhurst Park for my pick this week. 

Crystal Palace are in disarray both on and off the pitch at the moment, and if Arsenal aren't the last team they want to face at the moment, I'd imagine they're fairly near the top of the list. The Gunners have been insatiable in the quest for goals and glory this season and their record away from home is actually better than their record on their own patch.

Of course, in theory the Palace players are now looking to impress their new manager (whoever he may be) and trying and arrest their worrying slide towards relegation back to the Championship. But, there's not an awful lot a team can do when they can't get the ball, and Arsenal are simply far too good.

There's no real value in backing Arsenal in the straight Match Odds market at 1.392/5, but I'd expect them to see their less illustrious opponents off fairly easily and so a bet on the league leaders with a -1 handicap at odds-against seems like a good bet when you can see the visitors running out at least 0-2 winners, as I can. 

Luke Moore 2013-14 P/L: - £18.20

Mike Norman
Back Newcastle to beat Sunderland @ 2.789/5
Sunday, 13:30

Sunderland need a huge helping hand to get their first win of the Premier League season, so here it is... I'm tipping Newcastle!

The Black Cats' confidence must be shot to bits, a bit like my own, and I'm of the opinion that they'd love a game against a low-scoring side right now - a Stoke, a Fulham for example - just so they can try and keep things tight. I was going to say a Crystal Palace, but Sunderland have already conceded three to them to underline how poor they actually are.

Unfortunately Gus Poyet's men have got a Tyne-Wear derby against a side scoring regularly of late, and a side in decent form away from home (the Magpies have scored two goals exactly in each of their last five league games and they've won two from three on the road).

Sunderland will take comfort from the fact they were struggling last term but under a new manager thrashed their bitter rivals. But don't count on a repeat. That win was just Sunderland's second victory over Newcastle in their last 17 attempts, and alarmingly, on home soil they've won just one of the last 16 meetings.

Mike Norman 2013-14 P/L: - £64.50

A £10 bet is placed on each selection on Betfair's Exchange. Profits are calculated before commission

Editors' Battle P/L

1. Dan Thomas: + £44.79
2. Joe Dyer: - £8.40
3. Luke Moore: - £18.20
4. Mike Norman: - £64.50

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