The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2013/14: Week 13

Can Shane Long help his team to another draw? Joe Dyer thinks so

Joe Dyer is within striking distance of Dan Thomas after a terrific 3.412/5 winner, and Mike Norman has closed the gap at the bottom after his third tip in succession came up trumps. There's plenty of mileage in this competition yet however, and here are this week's predictions...

"I think WBA will score, and I also think they’ll concede, but the tough hide they’ve developed in recent games will see them through. The Baggies have become hard to beat – one loss in six – and the draw at 3.613/5 really appeals as a value price."

Back the draw in Newcastle v West Brom @ 3.613/5 
Saturday, 17:30  

Dan Thomas

Back The Draw in West Ham v Fulham at 3.613/5
Saturday, 15:00

Looking at these weekend's markets and my eyes were immediately drawn to Villa's price of 2.01/1 to beat Sunderland, who can't buy an away win but, with Joe now hot on my heels, I wanted a bit of a chunkier price so I'm putting a bit of (probably blind) faith on Fulham to get a result at Upton Park.

Yes, Martin Jol's boys have been in poor form but, aside from that frankly surreal 3-0 win at Spurs, so have the Hammers. Opta tell us West Ham have won just one of their last 11 Premier League matches (W1 D4 L6) and none of the last five on home soil (W0 D1 L4).

And while Fulham's stats don't make for pretty reading either - 10 points after 12 matches is their worst ever start to a Premier League campaign - struggling teams often cancel each other out.

Had Darren Bent had his shooting boots on last week, instead of his Sandra Redknapp mask, Fulham would have recorded a win over Swansea so, with a similar level of commitment, they should have enough in the tank to pick up a vital point in east London. I'm getting on at 3.613/5.

Dan Thomas 2013-14 P/L: + £42.89


Joe Dyer

Back The Draw in Newcastle v West Brom @ 3.613/5 
Saturday, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports 1 

With three wins, six draws and three defeats in the league and a goal difference of 0, Premier League teams don't come much more mid-table than West Brom. Not exceptional enough to go on long winning streaks but not so bad that they'll do the opposite either, WBA are masters of doing enough to get by in England's top-flight. 

If that sounds like I'm damning Steve Clarke's men with faint praise it is not intended - I'm backing them to rack up another draw against one of the league's in-form teams when the play Newcastle in the late kick-off this Saturday. 

West Brom are an effective unit, who, in Shane Long, boast a tireless striker on a hot streak (three goals in two games). I think they'll score, and I also think they'll concede at St James' Park, but the tough hide they've developed in recent games will see them through. The Baggies have become hard to beat - one loss in six - and the draw at 3.613/5 really appeals as a value price.   

Newcastle have put together a three game winning streak including defeats of Chelsea and Spurs, but that nervy 2-1 defeat of Norwich last time out was instructive. Many expected despatched the Canaries with ease but the squeaky one goal victory suggests they aren't quite the ultra-confident winning machine yet. 

Tough, energetic and organised, I'm backing the Baggies to land another win for the Dyerdrawbet. 

Joe Dyer 2013-14 P/L: + £25.60


Luke Moore

Back Romelu Lukaku to score first in Everton v Stoke at 5.04/1
Saturday, 15:00

The last three games between Everton and Stoke at Goodison Park have all been decided by a single goal, and if we are to assume that trend will continue this weekend then no man is more likely to make the difference than the big Belgian.

He terrorised a far better defence than Stoke last time out against Liverpool and there will be a few nervous defenders on the pitch before kick-off come Saturday afternoon.

What's more, Everton's home record is magnificent and Stoke's defeat of Sunderland last week was their first Premier League win in nine games so I am anticipating a home win, but in search of extra value I'm looking to the First Goalscorer market, and there's one stand out candidate. Back Romelu Lukaku to open proceedings with a flourish and net his eighth league goal of the season. 

Luke Moore 2013-14 P/L: - £37.20


Mike Norman

Back Over 3.5 Goals @ 3.211/5 in Newcastle v West Brom
Saturday, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports 1

A match between two sides playing some really good football of late, both capable of scoring a few and both just as likely to concede. 'Overs' simply has to be the bet, but do you go over 2.5 or over 3.5?

After three winning selections on the spin my confidence is high so I'm pushing the boat out and going for Over 3.5 Goals... and here's why.

In the last 11 meetings between these two sides not once has a clean sheet been recorded. Put another way, both teams have scored every time and an average of four goals per game have been scored. Over 3.5 Goals paid out in seven of those 11 meetings. And it's not as if we're going back 30 years; all of those encounters were within the last five seasons (10 in the league, one in the cup).

Current form screams goals too. Newcastle have now gone 10 successive Premier League games where they have found the net, and three of the Baggies' last four games have contained at least four goals.

Mike Norman 2013-14 P/L: - £44.50


A £10 bet is placed on each selection on Betfair's Exchange. Profits are calculated before commission


Editors' Battle P/L

1. Dan Thomas: + £42.89
2. Joe Dyer: + £25.60
3. Luke Moore: - £37.20
4. Mike Norman: - £44.50

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